Leafs Vs. Canes Scoring Chances

JP Nikota
November 26 2011 01:00PM

When Toronto played in Carolina last week and only lost 3-2, they had only Ben Scrivens and Phil Kessel to thank. Sure, it was a regulation loss, and at the end of the season, a 6-0 loss is worth the same number of points as 3-2 loss, but it's a whole lot easier on us fans.

The second period was the worst I have yet to track, with the Hurricanes out-chacing the Leafs 11-0, despite the fact that the Canes already held a 1-0 lead. In fact, including the two chances the Canes had at the end of the first, there was a 13-0 streak against the Leafs.

That the Leafs managed to stay out of the box for large stretches of the game was probably a big factor, as they only gave up two 5-on-4 advantages, and the Hurricanes capitalized on one of them. (Note that their PP goal came in the second, but was not technically considered a chance.)

The only Leaf to out-chance his opponents at even strength? Cody Franson.

I expect the picture to look somewhat rosier when I look at the next game, the Leafs' 7-1 drubbing of the Tampa Bay Lightning.

One other note I will add is that I have begun tracking what type of chances are occurring. Follow me over the jump for a list of scoring chance types.

SUST = Sustained pressure: this can mean a number of things, including a chance from cycling the puck, a chance off a blocked shot, the result of a scrum, or just hemming a team in with a series of good forechecking and passing.

TIP = An intentionally tipped shot. Pretty straightforward.

RUSH = Again, this one is straightforward, though it should be noted that I specify if the rush is ever odd-manned.

1T = One timer. If a shot comes as a one-timer, and the play is on a rush, it will be labelled 'RUSH'. If the one-timer comes off sustained pressure, it will be labelled '1T'.

TO = Turnover by the defending team: if the puck is turned over, then passed, then shot, it will be labelled 'RUSH' or 'SUST'. The puck has to be shot by the player intercepting the pass/play.

REBD = Rebound: similar to the turnover, if a player picks up a rebound and then passes it to a teammate for a chance, it will be labelled 'SUST'. The chance has to be taken by the first player on the puck to be considered a rebound.

BKWY = Breakaway: a player has to have a completely unencumbered shot at the net. If there is a defender hanging off their back, the chance will be labelled 'RUSH'.

Other types of chances may crop up over the course of the season - a penalty shot being one - but these were all the types necessary to do my first game of scoring chance types. Hopefully, after a much larger number of games, we'll have some good info on the types of chances the Leafs have been giving up, and be able to identify trends in individual performances - particularly goalies and rebounds.

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20286
 

Team Period Time Note TOR Opponent  
CAR 1 19:00 Harrison - SUST 3 19 30 36 42 81 15 16 28 30 44 53 5v5
TOR 1 16:36 Orr - TIP 4 11 24 28 30 38 5 6 16 19 30 39 5v5
TOR 1 16:27 Dupuis - RUSH 4 11 24 28 30 38 16 19 28 30 39 44 5v5
TOR 1 16:03 Bozak - RUSH 3 19 30 36 42 81 16 19 28 30 39 44 5v5
CAR 1 14:38 LaRose - SUST 2 30 32 39 41 51 5 6 23 30 36 59 5v5
CAR 1 13:43 Stuart - RUSH 3 11 28 30 36 38 5 6 11 13 30 37 5v5
CAR 1 8:56 Sutter - 1T 3 19 24 30 42 81 5 6 23 30 36 59 5v5
CAR 1 8:36 Tlusty - TIP 3 19 24 30 42 81 5 6 16 19 30 39 5v5
TOR 1 7:26 Frattin - RUSH 3 4 12 30 39 41 23 28 30 36 44 59 5v5
TOR 1 7:14 Kulemin - TO 2 12 30 39 41 51 4 12 15 30 51 53 5v5
CAR 1 1:53 LaRose - SUST 2 12 30 41 46 51 5 6 23 30 37 59 5v5
CAR 1 0:29 Harrison - SUST 3 20 30 32 36 46 12 15 28 30 44 53 5v5
CAR 2 17:35 Ponikarovsky - REBD 2 12 30 39 46 51 5 6 23 30 37 59 5v5
CAR 2 17:06 Stewart - 1T 2 12 30 39 46 51 5 6 13 30 37 59 5v5
CAR 2 15:04 Dwyer - RUSH 2 19 30 36 42 81 5 6 16 19 30 39 5v5
CAR 2 14:55 Ruutu - SUS 3 12 30 36 39 41 4 12 15 30 51 53 5v5
CAR 2 13:22 LaRose - RUSH 3 20 30 36 46   23 28 30 36 44 59 4v5
CAR 2 13:13 Skinner - REBD 2 12 30 46 51   23 28 30 36 44 59 4v5
CAR 2 12:55 Jokinen - OWN 2 12 30 46 51   23 28 30 36 44 59 4v5
CAR 2 10:41 Falk - REBD 4 19 24 30 32   12 28 30 44 59   4v4
CAR 2 9:57 Sutter - RUSH 2 12 19 30 51 81 15 16 19 28 30 44 5v5
CAR 2 3:36 Ruutu - REBD 3 19 24 30 42 81 5 6 13 15 30 37 5v5
CAR 2 2:00 Skinner - RUSH 3 11 30 32 36 46 5 6 12 15 30 53 5v5
TOR 3 17:25 Connolly - RUSH 2-1 3 12 30 36 39 41 5 6 11 13 30 36 5v5
TOR 3 15:29 Kessel - REBD 3 12 19 30 81   5 6 16 30     4v3
TOR 3 15:09 Frattin - REBD 3 30 36 39 42   12 28 30 44 53   4v4
TOR 3 13:40 Crabb - BKWY 3 12 19 30 36 46 4 23 30 36 51 59 5v5
TOR 3 13:34 Gunnarsson - SUS 3 12 19 30 36 46 4 23 30 36 51 59 5v5
TOR 3 7:07 Connolly - RUSH 4 12 24 30 39 41 5 6 12 15 30 53 5v5
CAR 3 6:55 Staal - BKWY 4 12 24 30 39 41 5 6 12 15 30 53 5v5
CAR 3 6:53 Skinner - REBD 4 12 24 30 39 41 5 6 12 15 30 53 5v5
CAR 3 6:42 Sutter - SUS 3 19 30 36 42 81 16 19 28 30 39 44 5v5
CAR 3 4:55 Ruutu - REBD 3 12 30 36 39 46 12 15 19 28 30 44 5v5
CAR 3 2:44 Skinner - 1T 12 24 30 46 51   4 12 15 30 51 53 4v5
TOR 3 2:00 Kulemin - RUSH 3 20 30 36 41   12 15 28 30 44 53 4v5
TOR 3 1:00 Kessel - SUS 12 19 24 42 51 81 6 16 19 30 39 44 5v5
TOR 3 0:33 Kessel - TIP 3 12 19 24 42 81 5 6 12 16 30 39 5v5

 

# Player EV PP SH
2 L. SCHENN 12:49 1 6 0:00 0 0 3:26 0 2
3 D. PHANEUF 21:02 7 10 1:16 1 0 3:41 1 1
4 C. FRANSON 14:15 4 3 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
11 P. DUPUIS 5:59 2 2 0:00 0 0 3:43 0 0
12 T. CONNOLLY 16:27 8 8 1:01 1 0 3:27 0 3
19 J. LUPUL 19:18 5 8 1:01 1 0 0:07 0 0
20 D. STECKEL 10:33 0 1 0:00 0 0 5:12 1 1
24 J. LILES 18:32 5 6 0:36 0 0 1:51 0 1
28 C. ORR 4:37 2 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
30 B. SCRIVENS 48:49 10 19 1:16 1 0 8:49 1 4
32 J. COLBORNE 11:48 0 4 0:15 0 0 0:00 0 0
36 C. GUNNARSSON 18:46 5 8 0:24 0 0 4:20 1 1
38 J. ROSEHILL 5:07 2 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
39 M. FRATTIN 14:01 5 7 0:15 0 0 0:04 0 0
41 N. KULEMIN 10:30 4 5 0:15 0 0 1:21 1 0
42 T. BOZAK 16:28 4 6 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
46 J. CRABB 11:33 2 6 0:00 0 0 3:38 0 4
51 J. GARDINER 14:29 2 5 0:00 0 0 4:20 0 3
81 P. KESSEL 19:43 3 7 0:52 1 0 0:06 0 0

 

Period Totals EV PP 5v3 PP SH 5v3 SH
1 5 7 5 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 11 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
3 9 5 7 4 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 14 23 12 19 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 0

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