Leafs' Chance Takers, 2010-11 Regular Season

Slava Duris
April 21 2011 03:02PM



Pictured above are two of the Leafs' leading scoring chance takers from the 2010-11 season, Phil Kessel (most taken on the team) and Nikolai Kulemin (3rd most).  Kulemin had the best shooting percentage on scoring chances out of all Leaf players with at least 50 chances.

Click "Read Article" to view the Chances Taken data for all the Toronto Maple Leafs' players from this past season.

TSC: Total Scoring Chances
TGC: Total Goals (scoring chances converted into goals).   Goals that weren't counted as a scoring chance (those scored on fluke plays) are not included.

ChS %: Shooting percentage on scoring chances.  ChS % = Goals / Scoring Chances

Then the scoring chance breakdowns at 5-on-5 (5v5) and 5-on-4 (5v4), which together account for 92.4 % of all Leafs' chances.  Due to space limitations, 4-on-4, 4-on-3, and 2-man advantage situations aren't included here.

I recorded a scoring chance whenever a shot (that isn't blocked) was taken from within the designated scoring area (see diagram at bottom of this post), or from outside through a screen or traffic in front of the goal.

Player TSC TG ChS % 5v5 C 5v5 G 5v4 C 5v4 G
P. KESSEL 257 31 12.1 186 17 51 10
M. GRABOVSKI 194 27 13.9 138 17 40 9
N. KULEMIN 138 27 19.6 106 22 28 4
C. MACARTHUR 116 21 18.1 91 15 22 6
T. BOZAK 96 15 15.6 63 8 19 6
K. VERSTEEG 86 11 12.8 55 6 23 2
J. LUPUL 58 8 13.8 47 6 10 2
C. ARMSTRONG 52 8 15.4 46 8 0 0
D. PHANEUF 38 6 15.8 18 3 12 2
T. BRENT 35 8 22.9 27 7 3 0
N. KADRI 33 1 3.0 29 1 2 0
F. SJOSTROM 29 2 6.9 26 2 1 0
J. CRABB 29 3 10.3 24 2 3 0
M. BROWN 28 3 10.7 25 2 1 1
T. KABERLE 25 2 8.0 13 2 11 0
L. SCHENN 21 3 14.3 19 3 2 0
F. BEAUCHEMIN 18 3 16.7 13 3 3 0
J. MITCHELL 18 2 11.1 16 1 1 1
D. BOYCE 15 5 33.3 14 5 0 0
C. GUNNARSSON 14 4 28.6 8 3 4 1
B. LEBDA 13 1 7.7 6 1 6 0
L. CAPUTI 10 0 0 9 0 1 0
M. KOMISAREK 7 0 0 6 0 0 0
C. ORR 6 2 33.3 5 2 1 0
K. AULIE 6 1 16.7 5 1 0 0
J. ROSEHILL 4 1 25.0 4 1 0 0
M. FRATTIN 4 0 0 3 0 1 0
M. MUELLER 3 0 0 3 0 0 0
M. ZIGOMANIS 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
J. COLBORNE 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
M. LASHOFF 1 0 0 0 0 1 0
C. HANSON 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
K. HOLZER 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Some more data to supplement the above table:


- There were two games that I didn't track this data for, but the leading breakaway shooters on the team were Kessel and Grabovski with 5 apiece.  Each player scored a single goal, and Grabovski drew penalty shot chances on 2 plays.

 - On 2-on-1 rushes, Kessel and Kulemin had 6 shots each.  Kessel didn't score on any of his 2-on-1 opportunites while Kulemin potted 2 goals.

 - High Quality (or A-graded) Scoring Chances* (see bottom of this post for an explanation) for the top six at 5v5: Kessel (43 taken, 7 goals, 16.3 ChS %); Grabovski (33 taken, 6 goals, 18.2 ChS %); Kulemin (30 taken, 13 goals, 43.3 ChS %); MacArthur (26 taken, 8 goals, 30.8 %); Bozak (22 taken, 6 goals, 27.3 ChS %); Lupul (19 taken, 6 goals, 31.6 ChS %)

 

SCORING AREA (in the green and teal areas):

* - Grade A scoring chances (aka High Quality SCs) - Prime chances for a goal.  For those that aren't goals, the puck didn't go in due to either a quality save by the goalie, or the shooter missing the goal.  Odd man rushes, breakaways, rebounds (almost always), and otherwise defensively uncontested scoring chances are given this grade.

And I might as well list the criteria for other two grades that I give out, FWIW:

Grade B chances - A shot taken from within the "slot" and lower part of the circles nearest the goal (the green part in the above diagram) is given this rating if the chance doesn't fall under the "A" criteria.

Grade C chances - Usually a shot from outside the scoring chance area through screens or traffic in front of the goal, or a shot taken from the higher part of the scoring area (the teal part in the diagram).

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Slava Duris started writing at his blog "Under the Helmet of Slava Duris" in May of 2009. He is currently engaged in a project to count scoring chances for the Toronto Maple Leafs this season. Slava chose his moniker in tribute to Vitezslav "Slava" Duris, a defenceman who defected from Czechoslovakia in the early 1980s to play for the Toronto Maple Leafs and was known for wearing one of the goofiest looking helmets in Leafs history.
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#1 nhlcheapshot
April 22 2011, 06:25AM
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Spectacular work Slava. Not nearly enough credit given for the work you put in here all season.

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