Playoff Prediction Project: Stanley Cup Finals!

Jonathan Willis
May 30 2011 01:03AM

The Stanley Cup Finals start on Wednesday, and that gives everyone three days to get their picks in for the winner. After the jump, results from the first three rounds.

The Standings

Entrant Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Totals Win%
Lowetide 8 3 2 13 92.9%
Cam Davie 7 3 2 12 85.7%
Jonathan Willis 8 2 2 12 85.7%
Ashley 7 2 2 11 78.6%
Chickenplucker 6 3 2 11 78.6%
SumOil 7 2 2 11 78.6%
Home team record 6 2 2 10 71.4%
~S~K~ 5 3 2 10 71.4%
Aitch 6 3 1 10 71.4%
Clyde Frog 6 4   10 71.4%
CrazyCaptain88 7 2 1 10 71.4%
Pat Steinberg 6 3 1 10 71.4%
TigerUnderGlass 6 3 1 10 71.4%
Big Worm 7 1 1 9 64.3%
DDP 6 3   9 64.3%
greenlightning86 7 2   9 64.3%
hoil 6 2 1 9 64.3%
Horcsky 7 1 1 9 64.3%
Kent Wilson 6 2 1 9 64.3%
master of my domain 6 3   9 64.3%
mbam99 7 2   9 64.3%
mesh 7 2   9 64.3%
Oilerpride15 6 3   9 64.3%
Olaf Peacock 6 2 1 9 64.3%
Pilgor09 7 2 0 9 64.3%
Riles97 6 2 1 9 64.3%
Steve Lansky 4 3 2 9 64.3%
Thomas Drance 5 3 1 9 64.3%
Vanguard 6 3   9 64.3%
Wax Man Riley 7 2 0 9 64.3%
Woogie 7 2   9 64.3%
Beeker73 6 2   8 57.1%
Bigblue 5 3   8 57.1%
bretzky 6 2   8 57.1%
Bucknuck 5 3   8 57.1%
Bucky9 6 2   8 57.1%
Ender 5 3   8 57.1%
EvanAllTogether 6 1 1 8 57.1%
FlamesinHamilton 5 3   8 57.1%
Freezing Weather Fan 4 3 1 8 57.1%
ItsTheBGB 7 1   8 57.1%
Jason Gregor 6 1 1 8 57.1%
John Chambers 5 3   8 57.1%
MoJo 4 3 1 8 57.1%
Motel 7 1   8 57.1%
Skidplate 6 2   8 57.1%
Spydyr 6 1 1 8 57.1%
VATech 6 2   8 57.1%
Wanye Gretz 6 1 1 8 57.1%
Zimmy 7 1   8 57.1%
6zeppelin6 7     7 50.0%
A Sad Panda 6 1   7 50.0%
Archaeologuy 5 2   7 50.0%
cambosmash 5 2   7 50.0%
Chunklets 5 2   7 50.0%
Crash 4 3   7 50.0%
D 5 2 0 7 50.0%
dawgbone 7     7 50.0%
DougWeightProblem 6 1   7 50.0%
DrPow 5 1 1 7 50.0%
Eulers 5 2   7 50.0%
GLoKz0r 7     7 50.0%
Heavyd 7     7 50.0%
jayoilfan 5 2   7 50.0%
jbh 6 1   7 50.0%
Lord Tunderin' 7     7 50.0%
madjam 5 2   7 50.0%
Ninjai 6 1   7 50.0%
Ogden Brother Jr. 7     7 50.0%
Oil Rigz 4 2 1 7 50.0%
Oilcruzer 6 1   7 50.0%
OILISMYBLOOD 7     7 50.0%
OvenChicken8 5 2   7 50.0%
Quicksilver 5 2   7 50.0%
raretomediumrare 6 1   7 50.0%
Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!" 6 1   7 50.0%
Stone Hands McOsta 6 1   7 50.0%
Tayranchula 7     7 50.0%
The Iron Maiden 7     7 50.0%
theoil 5 1 1 7 50.0%
toprightcorner 7     7 50.0%
Tracie 6 1   7 50.0%
Woodguy 6   1 7 50.0%
Bash 6     6 42.9%
Blue Blooded 6     6 42.9%
BurkeTheTurd 6     6 42.9%
bwmcdoug 6     6 42.9%
chicago oiler 6     6 42.9%
d.fresh 6     6 42.9%
Draft Wiz 6     6 42.9%
E-Mac 6     6 42.9%
Eric Johnson 6     6 42.9%
Etown Rebel 6     6 42.9%
Feynman 4 2   6 42.9%
Gord 4 2   6 42.9%
GSP 4 2   6 42.9%
Hannibal 6     6 42.9%
I'm a Scientist 6     6 42.9%
Kodiak 6     6 42.9%
Mantastic 5 0 1 6 42.9%
Milli 6     6 42.9%
MWA1991 6     6 42.9%
oildrop 6 0   6 42.9%
Peterborough 6 0   6 42.9%
RLH 6     6 42.9%
Ron Burgundy 5 1   6 42.9%
schevvy 4 2   6 42.9%
smiliegirl15 6     6 42.9%
brah 5     5 35.7%
Colin 4 1   5 35.7%
Dakota 5     5 35.7%
Dmcc 5     5 35.7%
D-rek 5     5 35.7%
DRock 4 1   5 35.7%
Henri 5     5 35.7%
Homie 5     5 35.7%
Hoovisonfire 5     5 35.7%
Mark-LW 5 0   5 35.7%
me 5     5 35.7%
NastyNate 5 0   5 35.7%
necrobot 5     5 35.7%
oilfan86 4 1   5 35.7%
OilLeak 5 0   5 35.7%
Petr's Jofa 5     5 35.7%
Robinrussia 4 1   5 35.7%
SLAM 5     5 35.7%
smytty777 5     5 35.7%
Soft Hands McSteeley 5 0 0 5 35.7%
DieHard 4     4 28.6%
Dutchscooter 4     4 28.6%
Dyckster 4     4 28.6%
geoilerogist   3 1 4 28.6%
JeffG   4   4 28.6%
maimster 4     4 28.6%
mayorpoop 3 1   4 28.6%
night and daze 4     4 28.6%
TrentonL 4     4 28.6%
d_mac15   3   3 21.4%
Dominoiler   3   3 21.4%
J_Budd   3   3 21.4%
Jakethesnake 3     3 21.4%
Marcus   3   3 21.4%
Minister D- 3     3 21.4%
oliveplusgreen 3     3 21.4%
Rogue   3   3 21.4%
stilldrinkingthekoolaid   3   3 21.4%
bigsul   2   2 14.3%
brashpatrick   2   2 14.3%
buttermilk biscuits   2   2 14.3%
Cosmo   2   2 14.3%
funkyjaman   2   2 14.3%
Henry   2   2 14.3%
joel   2   2 14.3%
Luc   2   2 14.3%
marty   2   2 14.3%
OillsMyBlood   2   2 14.3%
Palt   1 1 2 14.3%
Rallan72   2   2 14.3%
sofarsogood   2   2 14.3%
Starving Student   2   2 14.3%
Theoil   2   2 14.3%
Dan the Man   1   1 7.1%
Dooz   1   1 7.1%
H.O.P.E   1   1 7.1%
Oilers4ever   1   1 7.1%
positivebrontefan   1   1 7.1%
Rugslinger   1   1 7.1%
SurfacetoAirMissile   1   1 7.1%
Twiggs   1   1 7.1%

If anybody sees any issues with their score, just let me know – we’re all fallible (well, Lowetide’s only technically fallible, based on his record).

Finals Picks

  • Cam Davie: Vancouver in six games
  • Thomas Drance: Vancouver in five games
  • Jason Gregor: Vancouver in six games
  • Wanye Gretz: Boston in six games
  • Steven Lansky: Boston in seven games
  • Lowetide: Boston in seven games
  • Patrick Steinberg: Vancouver in five games
  • Jonathan Willis: Vancouver in five games
  • Kent Wilson: Vancouver in six games
74b7cedc5d8bfbe88cf071309e98d2c3
Jonathan Willis is Managing Editor of the Nation Network. He also currently writes for the Edmonton Journal's Cult of Hockey, Grantland, and Hockey Prospectus. His work has appeared at theScore, ESPN and Puck Daddy. He was previously founder and managing editor of Copper & Blue. Contact him at jonathan (dot) willis (at) live (dot) ca.
Avatar
Reply #1 Lowetide May 30 2011, 07:21AM
+1 1 props

I'm just going to post my prediction here if that's okay. Bruins in 7.

Avatar
Reply #2 master of my domain May 30 2011, 09:05AM
+1 1 props

I missed last round due to moving and having no computer and interweb hooked up. but since I moved to vancouver, Boston in 7. nothing would make me happier than to see all of the pain and dissapointment LIVE.

Avatar
Reply #3 Mrs. Potato Dick May 30 2011, 09:56AM
+1 1 props
jeanshorts wrote:

I don't know who Steve Lansky is but if his prediction comes true I will fellate him till the end of time.

#StopTheCanucks

Nasty dude. Surely there is an another way to show your unending appreciation. You'd have to tape a small TV screen to Steve's stomach to catch the games....or maybe just catch the radio broadcast. PS - Why no love for Lowetide?

Avatar
Reply #4 Wax Man Riley May 30 2011, 04:18PM
+1 1 props

Had my laptop stole.... Those jerks, so now I'm on the slow work computer.

Here it goes though.... Detroit in in 6... errr.. ummm.... San Jose? ... Dammit!

Ok, ok, For real... Vancouer in 6. Sorry boys, I hate to say it, I have bet with my heart against them all the way. Even though I said that if they beat Chicago in that game 7, they will win the cup... my heart just couldn't accept it.

Now, sadly..... It is time. Van in 6.

Avatar
Reply #5 Big Perm May 30 2011, 06:29PM
+1 1 props

Canucks accumulate three diving penalties in the first six games, while the Bruins' power-play finally ignites.

Bruins in six.

Avatar
Reply #7 mesh May 30 2011, 10:40PM
+1 1 props

You have to hope for the game 7 Nucks loss, don't you?

In OT, right? Imagine the dejection on every face, it'd be priceless.

Damn, forgot to pick for previous round, I'd have taken 1 pt by my recall of what I was thinking pre CFs.

Bruins in 7

Avatar
Reply #8 Wanye May 30 2011, 11:42PM
+1 1 props

Next year my team name is going to start with an A so that I win the alphabetical tie rankings.

Look out for

AAAAAAAA Wanye Pizza

Avatar
Reply #9 Mr. Pederson May 31 2011, 03:51PM
+1 1 props

Vancouver in 5. Christ is hurts my heart to write that

Avatar
Reply #10 Peterborough May 31 2011, 09:48PM
+1 1 props

B's in 5! Die canucks bastards, Die!

Avatar
Reply #11 Gman May 30 2011, 01:36AM
+1 0 props

Look at that, Lowetide in fist place!

Avatar
Reply #12 jeanshorts May 30 2011, 02:21AM
+1 0 props

I don't know who Steve Lansky is but if his prediction comes true I will fellate him till the end of time.

#StopTheCanucks

Avatar
Reply #13 Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!" May 30 2011, 02:39AM
+1 0 props

LoweTide Please DO NOT pick the Canucks to win it all! If you Do there is a 92.2 chance you are right and I really do not want to start suffering this early.

Avatar
Reply #14 Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!" May 30 2011, 02:39AM
+1 0 props

Boston in 7

Avatar
Reply #15 Oilanderp May 30 2011, 02:40AM
+1 0 props

I don't want it to happen but here's how I see it going down: Timmy steals one game and Roberta ****s the bed in another. Boston's meanness doesn't make up for their inability to score. VAN in 6, I guess. *sigh* Go BRUINS!

Avatar
Reply #16 Oilanderp May 30 2011, 02:44AM
+1 0 props
Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!" wrote:

LoweTide Please DO NOT pick the Canucks to win it all! If you Do there is a 92.2 chance you are right and I really do not want to start suffering this early.

Some would say he has a 50% chance of being right.

Avatar
Reply #17 robinrussia May 30 2011, 03:17AM
+1 0 props

I sucked at this....next time pick with the brain and not the heart! -Curses Vancouver under his breath-

I had a 35% rate, so I'll pick Vancouver in 6 and expect my poor success rate continues and secretly hope Boston with the broom in 4!

Avatar
Reply #18 pelhem grenville May 30 2011, 04:04AM
+1 0 props
jeanshorts wrote:

I don't know who Steve Lansky is but if his prediction comes true I will fellate him till the end of time.

#StopTheCanucks

...now that's a wager !

Avatar
Reply #19 Archaeologuy May 30 2011, 06:49AM
+1 0 props

Im dead in the water because I missed the 3rd round (and am terrible at predictions), but Im going for Boston in 6.

Avatar
Reply #20 Oilerpride15 May 30 2011, 06:55AM
+1 0 props

The bruins in 6.

Avatar
Reply #21 jayoilfan May 30 2011, 07:43AM
+1 0 props

Oops looks like I forgot the last round, oh well. Vancity looks too strong (ughh pains me to say it) but I think Vancouver abd general lower Fraser River valley will be destroyed by riots of ecstasy, drunkeness, hoodlumism and all-round stupidity, when the fans rejoice a stanley cup win, in 5.

Go Oilers Go did Huberdeau's Memorical cup win sway any of the Oilers scouts? hope not.

Avatar
Reply #22 jayoilfan May 30 2011, 07:45AM
+1 0 props

doh! memorial cup, MEMORIAL, not memorical, jeez you'd think it would be awake this early after riding le velo in to work...

Avatar
+1 0 props

I thought I made predicitons for round 2? I went 1 for 4 in round 2 and 2 for 2 in round 3.

Boston in 4.

Avatar
Reply #24 madjam May 30 2011, 08:01AM
+1 0 props

Vancouver in 5 .

Avatar
Reply #25 CrazyCaptain88 May 30 2011, 08:10AM
+1 0 props

I am picking Boston in 7

Avatar
Reply #26 Horcsky May 30 2011, 08:23AM
+1 0 props

Big Bad Bruins in 6.

Avatar
Reply #27 Riles97 May 30 2011, 08:28AM
+1 0 props

Boston in 7!!!

Avatar
Reply #28 DDP May 30 2011, 08:33AM
+1 0 props

Boston in 7

Avatar
Reply #29 Ninjai May 30 2011, 08:33AM
+1 0 props

Yeah! I'm 50%... which makes sense, statistically, since I've guessed this whole way. Let's hope I can win the majority vote:

Boston in 6!

Avatar
Reply #30 Woogie May 30 2011, 08:42AM
+1 0 props

Van in 6

Avatar
Reply #31 Oil Rigz May 30 2011, 09:04AM
+1 0 props

Boston in 6

Avatar
Reply #32 Mbam99 May 30 2011, 09:05AM
+1 0 props

Damn, I missed round 3 too, but would have picked TB and SJ anyway.

I'll go with the Bruins. In 6

it pains me to say this but van in 6

Avatar
Reply #34 Mantastic May 30 2011, 09:34AM
+1 0 props

B's in 7, 42.9% worse then half of lowetide!!!

Avatar
Reply #35 Bucky9 May 30 2011, 09:49AM
+1 0 props

Bruins in 7. Vancouver shall not win.

Avatar
Reply #36 Ender May 30 2011, 10:06AM
+1 0 props
Archaeologuy wrote:

Im dead in the water because I missed the 3rd round (and am terrible at predictions), but Im going for Boston in 6.

I know the feeling; round 3 was posted on the weekend and I missed it as well. Even so, I'm tied with Wanye.

If you correct for actual percentage of games predicted, I'm right up there in 14th spot just behind TigerUnderGlass and ahead of Kent Wilson.

I can't believe Jon has the time or inclination to track stats like these. I'm glad that he does; I just can't figure out why he does. Mad props, Willis.

Going out on a limb with the final. The Canucks have found their stride and the 'Bolts took too much out of Boston.

Vancouver in 5.

Avatar
Reply #37 Spydyr May 30 2011, 10:08AM
+1 0 props

The big bad Bruins in 7 .In front of the Vancouver fans.

Avatar
Reply #38 FastOil May 30 2011, 10:08AM
+1 0 props

Van in 6 - Ugghhhhhhhh.

At least Stan will be back in Canada. I dread listening to my outlaws for the next, uh, forever.

Avatar
Reply #39 Mark-LW May 30 2011, 10:12AM
+1 0 props

Boston in 5 games.

Avatar
Reply #40 Ashley May 30 2011, 10:14AM
+1 0 props

VAN in 6

Avatar
Reply #41 Clyde Frog May 30 2011, 10:33AM
+1 0 props

Damn, my round 3 predictions missed the boat, I could have sworn I posted them. Still 71.4% aint bad.

Vancouver in 6! Although I hate to say it :(

Avatar
Reply #42 Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!" May 30 2011, 10:41AM
+1 0 props
Lowetide wrote:

I'm just going to post my prediction here if that's okay. Bruins in 7.

Relief!

Avatar
Reply #43 Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!" May 30 2011, 10:44AM
+1 0 props
Ender wrote:

I know the feeling; round 3 was posted on the weekend and I missed it as well. Even so, I'm tied with Wanye.

If you correct for actual percentage of games predicted, I'm right up there in 14th spot just behind TigerUnderGlass and ahead of Kent Wilson.

I can't believe Jon has the time or inclination to track stats like these. I'm glad that he does; I just can't figure out why he does. Mad props, Willis.

Going out on a limb with the final. The Canucks have found their stride and the 'Bolts took too much out of Boston.

Vancouver in 5.

HE does it because it is fun for ALL of us and it has made it fun to be here! I thinks he is enjoying our enjoyment of it!

Avatar
Reply #44 greenlightning86 May 30 2011, 10:47AM
+1 0 props

Vancouver 6

I don't know what happened to my conference final predictions I wrote Van and Bos and I pressed "post comment", it showed me it was there.

Oh well at least I know I have 78.6%, thats all that matters right.....right

Avatar
Reply #45 hoil May 30 2011, 10:51AM
+1 0 props

Vancouver Canucks will defy the curse placed on them by sweeping the Boston Bruins in four straight games.

Luongo will have four shut-out games and win the Hart.

I wish the Canucks and their fans all the luck in the world.

Avatar
Reply #46 hoil May 30 2011, 10:53AM
+1 0 props

I would have 11 wins if I had not picked against the Canucks when I knew they would win. When there is no money on the line, you play the game different.

Avatar
Reply #47 theoil May 30 2011, 10:54AM
+1 0 props

As much as it pains me deeply to say this... VAN in 7..

Avatar
Reply #48 potvin May 30 2011, 11:53AM
+1 0 props
robinrussia wrote:

I sucked at this....next time pick with the brain and not the heart! -Curses Vancouver under his breath-

I had a 35% rate, so I'll pick Vancouver in 6 and expect my poor success rate continues and secretly hope Boston with the broom in 4!

are you serious!

Avatar
Reply #49 Pilgor09 May 30 2011, 12:21PM
+1 0 props

Boston in 7.

Avatar
Reply #50 The Beaker May 30 2011, 12:29PM
+1 0 props

I'm just bad at this. Before the playoffs Boston was my pick to win the cup. Since then I have bet against them twice and they've won both. So just because of that I bet on Vancouver... Yay for win-wins.

Vancouver in 7.

(Though in a perfect world --> Boston in 4)

Comments are closed for this article.