Leafs CHL Prospects Year Over Year Points

Gus Katsaros
September 20 2012 10:10AM

As Canadian Hockey Leagues fire up the generators for opening night, I thought I’d share some the Leafs point totals by players drafted from 2010 and returned to their respective CHL teams.

The three leagues under the CHL umbrella start their respective seasons WHL (47th) QMJHL (44rd) and the OHL (33rd).

With the NHL lockout, fans looking for alternatives have the option of following some of their own team’s prospects returned to the CHL, a likely natural lure to see future NHLers.

Basic boxcar stats don’t provide enough context for prospects development but they do still have a place in a symbiotic relationship with scouting notes. In both instances, you’re looking for something to stick out, be it an improved first-step burst, or an anomalous number in a place to pique curiosity to explore further.

One such anomaly that is easily pointed out below as we will see.

On that note, I wanted to emphasize the focus on goals, explaining the expanded dissection of goals to see where players were scoring the most. In addition to overtime and empty-net markers, are goals and points per game columns as well as the percentage of totals goals scored on the power play.

Below is a breakdown of the of Leafs players drafted in 2010 and 2011 from the CHL. The first chart is of the players drafted in 2010 with their totals in 2010-11.

This is the legend for the following charts:

GP        Games Played

Goals

Assists

PTS      

OTG      Overtime Goals

ENG      Empty Net Goals

PPG      Power Play Goals

Gls/Gm Goals per Game

Pts/Gm Points per Game

PPGls%             Percentage of total goals scored on the power play  

Players 2010-11 GP Goals Assists PTS OTG ENG PPG Gls/Gm Pts/Gm PPGls%
Toronto Maple Leafs 451 155 219 374 3 6 5 0.34 0.83 26.45
Brad Ross 67 31 38 69 1 0 8 0.46 1.03 25.81
David Broll 41 8 14 22 0 0 2 0.20 0.54 25.00
Greg McKegg 66 49 43 92 1 5 17 0.74 1.39 34.69
Josh Nicholls 71 34 53 87 1 0 8 0.48 1.23 23.53
Joshua Leivo 64 13 17 30 0 0 1 0.20 0.47 7.69
Sam Carrick 59 16 23 39 0 1 3 0.27 0.66 18.75
Stuart Percy 64 4 30 34 0 0 2 0.06 0.53 50.00
Sondre Olden -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Garret Sparks 19 0 1 1 0 0 0 0.00 0.05 --

 

This is the following season, 2011-12 as those players were returned. There’s one noticeable difference, the increase in goals.

Players 2011-12 GP Goals Assists PTS OTG ENG PPG Gls/Gm Pts/Gm PPGls%
Toronto Maple Leafs 523 196 259 455 4 15 60 0.37 7.64 30.61
Brad Ross 68 42 40 82 1 4 15 0.62 1.21 35.71
David Broll 59 8 25 33 0 0 2 0.14 0.56 25.00
Greg McKegg 65 31 44 75 1 1 15 0.48 1.15 48.39
Josh Nicholls 56 30 38 68 1 3 3 0.54 1.21 10.00
Joshua Leivo 66 32 41 73 0 5 8 0.48 1.11 25.00
Sam Carrick 68 37 30 67 0 1 11 0.54 0.99 29.73
Stuart Percy 34 5 20 25 1 1 2 0.15 0.74 40.00
Sondre Olden 48 11 21 32 0 0 4 0.23 0.67 36.36
Garret Sparks 59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 --

 

Brad Ross had a respectable increase from 31 to 42 goals. Sam Carrick and Josh Leivo both get highlights here, with Carrick going from 16 goals in ’10-11 to 37 in ’11-12.

Stuart Percy’s injury-shortened season produced better offensive numbers, but that’s not the skillset that will turn him into a competent NHL rearguard. It’s good to see some of the basic puck moving skills, and good shot to compliment his good sense for the game.

Josh Leivo benefitted from power play time to score eight goals, or 25 percent of his totals, while Greg McKegg had a noticeable drop from goals yet scored more on the power play, accounting for almost half his goals.

Percy will be returned to Junior along with 2012 draft pick Morgan Rielly and Tyler Biggs will join the Generals for his first season in the OHL.

Below are the players drafted in 2012 and their point totals.  

2012 draft picks GP Goals Assists PTS OTG ENG PPG Gls/Gm Pts/Gm PPGls%
Morgan Rielly 18 3 15 18 0 0 0 0.1667 0.11 --
Matt Finn 61 10 38 48 0 0 5 0.1639 0.95 50.00
Connor Brown 68 25 28 53 0 1 12 0.3676 0.21 48.00
Ryan Rupert 63 17 31 48 0 0 5 0.2698 1.9 29.41

Connor Brown is an interesting choice with a minus-72, something already pointed out in various outlets, while leading the Erie Otters with 25 goals.

  TotGP Goals Assists AvPTS OT Gls ENG PPG Gls/Gm Pts/gm PPGls%
NHL Average 57.0 17.9 28.6 46 34 0.6 5.5 0.31 0.81 30.52
2010-11 451 155 219 374 3 6 5 0.34 0.83 26.45
2011-12 523 196 259 455 4 15 60 0.37 7.64 30.61

 

The Leafs had the most players in the CHL, with nine including Olden’s placement with the Otters, although he wasn’t drafted out of the CHL. They were tied with the Colorado Avalanche, Buffalo Sabres and Phoenix Coyotes.

Washington and New Jersey had the least with two.

The average number players representing returned players to junior teams by NHL clubs was 5.54 per team.

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Gus Katsaros is the Pro Scouting Coordinator for McKeen's Hockey. Follow him on twitter @KatsHockey or his blog Kats Krunch at mckeenshockey.com
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#1 oceansaber
September 21 2012, 07:29AM
Trash it!
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The PPG I believe was calculated incorrectly. Rielly should be 1.00, Rupert should be 0.76, 2011-2012 in total should be 0.87 (probably calculated by adding instead of averaging).

Other than that, nice read! :)

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