Leafs prospect Connor Brown reaches 100 pts in just 48 games

Steve Dangle
January 27 2014 08:25PM


                 The cat's out of the bag: This kid's good!

Leafs prospect Connor Brown just became the first player in Erie Otters history to score 100 points in a season. Even more insane: He did it in just 48 games. Um... Wow. Holy crap.

You should always take junior statistics with a grain of salt. New Leafs prospect Brandon Kozun had back-to-back 100+ point seasons in the WHL, and that hasn't even translated into an appearance in an NHL game for him yet. Still, it's noteworthy that Brown, a Toronto Maple Leafs pick (6th round, 156th overall in 2012), currently leads the OHL with over two points per game. The guy with the second-most points is 15 points behind Brown, and he's his teammate. Dane Fox of the Otters currently has 85 points. The closest OHL player to Brown not on the Otters is Nikolay Goldobin of the Sarnia Sting with 73 points - a whole 27 points behind Brown.

Another one of Brown's teammates is 2015 draft-eligible phenom Connor McDavid, who has 62 points in 36 games. A great click, but still not at the same pace as Brown.

A look at his game log this season shows how dominant Brown has been. His longest pointless streak is two games, and that only happened once.

At the beginning of the season, we ranked Connor Brown as the 18th-best Leafs prospect. Last week, we bumped him up a whole nine spots to number nine, the greatest increase of any Leafs prospect. Maybe we should have him even higher.

Did I mention this guy wasn't on Team Canada? No? Oh. Well this guy wasn't on Team Canada. Fun fact.

Keep an eye on this one, folks.

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Steve Dangle has a YouTube channel with over 3 million views and is the co-host of the Steve Dangle Podcast on iTunes and SoundCloud. Steve has also worked for CBC, the NHL Network, Leafs TV, Nike, the KHL, and most of all, the Toronto Zoo. stevedangle.com
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#1 Saud
January 27 2014, 08:36PM
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Again, I get junior stats are hard to translate into the NHL but what kind of ceiling do you see for him?. I have not seen alot of him but I feel like he could probably look good in the not too far future on a potentially pretty good 3rd line with holland and ashton if the coach were to give them some decent minutes. Leafs top six are pretty good and fairly young so i dont see him usurping any of them.

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#3 Pension Plan Puppets
January 27 2014, 09:13PM
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Saud wrote:

Again, I get junior stats are hard to translate into the NHL but what kind of ceiling do you see for him?. I have not seen alot of him but I feel like he could probably look good in the not too far future on a potentially pretty good 3rd line with holland and ashton if the coach were to give them some decent minutes. Leafs top six are pretty good and fairly young so i dont see him usurping any of them.

Gabe Desjardins actually did a study that looked at creating NHL Equivalencies for leagues throughout the world as well as junior leagues.

You can read it here: http://www.behindthenet.ca/projecting_to_nhl.php

Basically, Brown's points total so far is equivalent to 29 points in the NHL. It actually may be a bit lower than that because Brown is in his draft + 2 year so he would be expected to do quite well.

It's great to see him doing well but 3rd line is probably his ceiling.

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#4 JakeDeJong
January 27 2014, 09:23PM
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Steve buddy you got this one wrong. He didn't even get invited to the final pre camp this year, so he wasnt really cut.

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#6 JakeDeJong
January 27 2014, 09:29PM
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Steve Dangle wrote:

lol even worse. I'll edit it.

Ive listened to every pod cast and seen every LFR. I assumed you were better than this #SadDangle

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#7 Jeffrey
January 28 2014, 01:45AM
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Should be noted that he's the first player in the entire CHL to reach 100. No other CHL player has even eclipsed 85 yet-- WHL's leading scorer in Mitch Homlberg, QMJHL's leading scorer in Anthony Mantha (Hanna Montana) and OHL's second scorer Dane Fox all have 85.

It will be scary to see how much more Brown can score with 20 games left.

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#8 Old Hockey Fan
January 28 2014, 09:08AM
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This guy has been flying under the radar in the Leaf system until this year and it was Conner Brown not the Leaf brass that has started to make every one take notice of him. Saud wrote in a prior comment that this production would translate into may be 29 points in the NHL, if that is so how many points did the stars in the NHL score in junior. Yep he is draft+2 player, but he has certainly found his form this year and he is a guy who really works hard at his craft so hopefully he can bring an elevated level next year moving up.

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#9 Madrush
January 28 2014, 10:44AM
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Pension Plan Puppets wrote:

Gabe Desjardins actually did a study that looked at creating NHL Equivalencies for leagues throughout the world as well as junior leagues.

You can read it here: http://www.behindthenet.ca/projecting_to_nhl.php

Basically, Brown's points total so far is equivalent to 29 points in the NHL. It actually may be a bit lower than that because Brown is in his draft + 2 year so he would be expected to do quite well.

It's great to see him doing well but 3rd line is probably his ceiling.

I think your calculation is wrong. Brown is scoring at close to 2.1 ppg in OHL. That means 2.1*0.3 = .63 ppg in NHL, i.e. 52 points in NHL.

Another easy recent comparable is that Kadri scored @1.65 ppg in his Draft + 1 year.

Not saying we should get our hopes to high or that an estimate that 3rd line is his ceiling is off. But he is doing great for where he's been drafted, and rocketing up the lists for a very good reason.

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