The Return of Draft Analytics: The Prospect Graduation Probabilities System (pGPS)

Jeremy Davis
May 04 2016 02:55PM

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The ability to predict the success of hockey prospects at young ages has long been a goal in the business of hockey. Now more than ever, the success of young players is directly related to the success of an NHL team. For the most part, rosters are built through the draft, rather than trades and free agency. Knowing who will is likely to be successful and who is likely to fail can be the difference between winning and losing in the future - and that can subsequently be the difference between employment and unemployment for the person who is choosing the players.

It wasn't that long ago (although it seems like ages) that Canucks Army had access to such a tool. PCS, the Prospect Cohort Success project developed by Money Puck and Josh Weissbock, used historical data to project players in the here and now. Unfortunately, we lost access to the system when those two were hired by the Florida Panthers.

As you may have noticed, we've been using comparable percentages to assess prospects again over the past couple of months, beginning with this article here. It's been a bit of a mystery until now, but it's time to pull back the curtain. Draft and prospect analytics are returning to Canucks Army and the Nation Network. This is not a rebirth of PCS, but instead an alternative, using similar underlying principles.

This is pGPS: the prospect Graduation Probabilities System.

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Bucci, Nobody actually cares if a player acts like he's from Peterborough

Jeff Veillette
May 04 2016 02:26PM

Leafs fans have a lot of time for any piece that pumps the tires of Auston Matthews right now. After all, it's all but certain that he'll be the first player to wear Toronto's new jersey when his name is called as the first overall pick in late June because he's an incredible, NHL ready prospect who quite frankly is ahead of his competition.

So when ESPN posts an article prepared to pump his tires and get people excited, it's something that you just have to click, right? But then you do, and you can't help but be a little disappointed.

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Auston Matthews is from Arizona: an Open Letter to John Buccigross

Cat Silverman
May 04 2016 02:22PM

Dear John Buccigross: 

We need to talk. 

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MGD: Dealing With The Devils

Jeff Veillette
May 04 2016 11:43AM

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Photo Credit: Christian Bonin/TSGPhoto.com

A new week, a new series. The Marlies, hot off the heels of a three-game sweep of the Bridgeport Sound Tigers, will continue to hunt for blood against the Albany Devils. We broke down the series on the whole last night, but for now, let's talk about the game ahead of them this evening.

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Why Drafting Patrik Laine 1st Overall is Ridiculous

Ryan Hobart
May 04 2016 08:52AM

Please stop. There's been chatter over social media (and in the actual media) about where Finnish sniper Patrik Laine should be ranked. Given the title, I'm sure you're not surprised to hear me say I don't have him at the top of my draft board.

When the season started, there was only one name that people were really getting excited for, and that was American centerman Auston Matthews. So what's changed?

Well, quite a lot. Even in the context of Matthews and Laine, a lot has happened.

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