November 16 2011 08:17PM
There's a pun to be made here about 'falling Leafs' - especially as we're in the midst of Fall - but I'm not going to be the one to make it. We're just all business here at The Leafs Nation, in case you haven't noticed - cough, cough.
Recently, the Leafs currently have a sizeable list of players that are injured, and unable to play in tomorrow's game against Nashville:
Colton Orr has the flu, but should be available by tomorrow, even though he'll likely be a healthy sratch.
Matt Frattin missed practice today, but it was for personal reasons, and will definitely be back tomorrow.
Returning for Toronto will be Tim Connolly, who has missed 11 of the Leafs' 17 games so far.
This might have been a nice time to call up Joe Colborne, who posted 19 points in his first 12 games with the Toronto Marlies, but he is also not quite back to 100%, and can't be counted on just yet. In any event, he'll probably need a couple games to get his timing back before the Leafs give him an audition for the big show.
Most of us have looked back on last year, when the Leafs' were one of the healthier teams in the league, and figured that this year is life's way of balancing out the tables, but this is something of a Gambler's Fallacy. Year-to-year man games lost to injury are (mostly) discreet numbers, and can't be thought of in that way. The odds that we stayed healthy last year are the same that we stayed healthy this year. (Except, perhaps, for the case of Tim Connolly.)
November 16 2011 02:51PM
So, Mikhail Grabovski and Clarke MacArthur were both banged up last night against the Phoenix Coyotes.
News broke out today that Grabovski will miss at least two weeks. Since November games are so important, Ron Wilson was in full playoff mode and qualified the injury strictly as "lower body". Meanwhile, MacArthur left late in the second period after playing just ten shifts in the game, and Wilson wasn't discussing much about his status.
November 16 2011 11:01AM
The second iteration of the NHLNumbers Podcast features the regular crew from episode one (myself, Jon Willis and Justin Azevedo) as well as Gabriel Desjardins of behindthenet.ca and Arctic Ice Hockey fame. Gabe is one of the best minds in the world and pioneer when it comes to advanced hockey analysis so we were thrilled he was able to appear for the whole show.
November 16 2011 09:13AM
Games like this are the reason that, try as we might, we just cannot give up on the Leafs. 10 minutes into the first period it looked like “one of those nights” where anything that could go wrong, did. Adrian Aucoin knocked what would have been a breakaway pass to Lupul out of mid-air about a minute before Phaneuf mishandled a bouncing puck and tripped over the blueline to set up the first Yotes goal. Then a soft wrister from the point eludes every body in front to find its way into the back of the net. 2-0 Yotes, oh brother.
November 15 2011 02:31AM
For those of you that aren't aware, I've started tracking Leafs' scoring chances for and against in each game, and will be continuing this project throughout the year, publishing each individual game's numbers as the season progresses.
If you're looking for a description of my definition of a scoring chance, give this piece a read.
Starting on this project a bit late into the season has made it difficult to catch up, but I've finally done it. This post covers the Leafs' first 17 games of the season, though because it takes a while to compile all of the data in a useful way, I may not be doing these summative pieces very often. Consider this your first quarter report.