The Toronto Maple Leafs' looming PDO demon (what is PDO?)

Cam Charron
February 20 2013 01:26PM

"PDO", which doesn't stand for anything, can explain how hockey teams performed in a short amount of time.

It is the simple addition of a team's even strength shooting percentage and a team's even strength save percentage. Over the long run, it's been observed that the "PDO number" comes closer to 1.

It is also a very counter-intuitive concept, since it assumes that the value of every shot is equal, that teams have equally-good shooters and goaltenders. That said, teams that start the season with high PDOs tend to finish the season with lower PDOs. As of Monday morning, there were nine teams that had their goaltenders combine for .930 even strength save percentages or higher. After 82 games last season, only two teams managed that.

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LFR6 - Game 17 - Stamkos Struck

Steve Dangle
February 20 2013 12:28PM

 

 The shutout streak is over! The sky is falling!

Seriously though, here's the latest LFR video. 

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Nations Freeroll - Week of February 18th

Kent Wilson
February 20 2013 10:24AM

 

 

We've run a few of these recently and there seemed to be some interest, so Draft Street has set up another Nations Freeroll contest for this week.

Here's a run-down of the rules for those who are unfamiliar:

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Tampa Bay defeats Toronto 4-2 in hockey game

Cam Charron
February 19 2013 09:37PM

It was an uncharacteristically slow pace for a game involving the Tampa Bay Lightning, or perhaps I've been swayed by a bias because their games are usually high-scoring. There wasn't a lot going on for either team, a slow first period and a slow second period ended up having a pretty fun ending thanks to the Toronto Maple Leafs pressing with the empty net, but ultimately the Leafs dropped their first game in three outings with a 4-2 loss to the Bolts.

The difference may have been Ben Scrivens' first two mistakes on the season. Alexander Killorn and Matt Carle both scored on long, unscreened point shots misplayed by Scrivens. Neither him nor Anders Lindback were overwhelming on forward shooters—much of the reason for the low shot total in this game, 25-19, was the result of missed nets and blocks.

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Preview: Game #17 Leafs @ Lightning - Scrivens

Cam Charron
February 19 2013 12:45PM

I'm at a loss for words to explain Toronto's run of good fortune lately. Not only have they been generating scoring chances at a rate far higher than you would expect from their shot totals, but a good number of those chances are going in, especially lately.

Toronto has won six games out of their last seven, a blemish only against the Carolina Hurricanes. In those seven games, the Leafs have out-chanced their opposition 92-86, which isn't horrific domination. They've out-scored their opponents 24-9 in the process, which is horrific domination. A lot of things right now are clicking for Toronto, especially the goaltending. Ben Scrivens has come in and been lights-out.

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