December 05 2013 10:38AM
Overall, I think that the hockey world overestimates the impact of big winning or losing streaks.
Think of it this way: a contending team wins about 60% of its games, and a lottery team wins about 37%. There's not really a huge deviation from 50-50. If you flip a coin 82 times, even one that's weighted perfectly, you'll run into stretches where heads is shown five or six consecutive times. That doesn't mean that heads "has momentum", it's just that streaks are likely to happen in a sport where most short-term outcomes are random.
This might surprise you: at the height of the Pat Quinn era, from 1998 through 2004, the Leafs averaged an 89-point pace in games after wins. They also averaged a 106-point pace in games after losses. Instead of getting on noticeable streaks, what happened was the exact opposite. The team played like a contender in games after losses, and a bubble team after wins.
So while many people are asking questions of a Leafs team that appears to be reeling, demoralized, banged up and all else, I think this is just the natural progression of a hockey team, good or bad. This five-game losing streak shouldn't change your opinion on the Maple Leafs, nor should it confirm fears. It's just hockey. And they play again tonight.
Jeff Veillette (Jeffler)
December 05 2013 10:27AM
In his fourth season of professional hockey, it looks like Jerry D'Amigo may have finally recieved his "in" to the National Hockey League, being called up to the Toronto Maple Leafs today amidst a grocery list of injuries across the forward core.
December 04 2013 08:47PM
Time for another article that focuses on the “Edmonton” part of the “Edmonton Oilers Hockey Blog” that you see on the heading of the site. If you are looking to read about the calculated odds of the Oilers shooting out of 14th place in the West read on.
You have been warned.
December 04 2013 03:13PM
The Sharks are a good hockey team, I think.
Jeff Veillette (Jeffler)
December 03 2013 08:08PM
To say that November was a rough month would be an understatement. The "bounces" that were going the Leafs' way for most of the calendar year began to dry up, every offensive centre in the lineup found a way to disappear in some way shape or form, and the Leafs squeaked away with just two regulation wins and eleven points in thirteen games. To remain a playoff team, the Leafs absolutely need to have a strong December. The issue? Their opponents are strong, including tonight's San Jose Sharks. It was a battle of the best volume shooters against one of the worst shot bleeders, and at times it showed, ultimately leading to a 4-2 win for the Sharks.