"Magical Mikhail" - Zone-Adjusted Corsi for Leafs forwards

Cam Charron
July 20 2012 12:50PM

It's rough collecting stray thoughts on a day like today, so our afternoon post at TLN will just be a bit of a data dump for the most part. Yesterday, I introduced the concept, I'm sure, of "zone-adjusted Corsi" to several readers. Corsi is basically a shot-differential statistic that measures puck possession.

Now, it isn't a perfect system, but it gives us an indication of where the puck was when a player was on the ice. If there were a lot more shots in the Leafs' favour when a player was on the ice, he's doing something right to tilt the needle. But since players have different roles, we need to take a lot of things into account. You can't just look at a player's Corsi number and render the judgment.

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Nikolai Kulemin re-signs in Toronto for two years

Ryan Fancey
July 20 2012 07:00AM

According to Darren Dreger, the Leafs have signed Kulemin to a new two year deal worth $2.8 million per season.

After going ice cold for the 2011-12 campaign, Kulemin still managed to get a raise from his expiring $2.35 million dollar hit over the last two years.

However, if you look at his entire body of work over the past two seasons, which included a break out offensively in 2010-11, it's tough to argue this contract. The cap hit is peanuts, and Kulemin's a legit NHLer who's responsible on both sides of the puck for the most part. I like it.

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"Zone-adjusted Corsi" and the Magnificent John-Michael Liles

Cam Charron
July 19 2012 02:47PM

I don't necessarily intend to use this space to write savage things about Jake Gardiner, but due to the limited number of young Toronto Maple Leafs' defencemen who can potentially crack a major league roster this season, expectations may be too high for the kid.

Grading offence isn't too hard to do. Usually, you can look at a player's goal totals and determine how good they are in the offensive zone. Defence is a little more suspect, however. How can you grade how good a player is defensively? You could use many things, to how many minutes a player is used on defence, or in what role a player is used by who his coach matches him up against.

It doesn't give you an exact answer, though. How good is somebody like, say, Jake Gardiner at playing defence? How successful does he, or will, he, make the Leafs?

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NERD CAMP UPDATE: WANYE GOES TO FACEBOOK

Wanye
July 19 2012 02:29PM

This second nerd camp update is about successful youth: Mini Daddy - featured above - and Mark Zuckerberg as you will see shortly. It is NOT about your local squadon's efficient penalty killing or the fact that Shea Weber is now richer than Zuckerberg and Mini Daddy combined. You have been warned before making the jump.

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SHOULD POILE MATCH?

Jason Gregor
July 19 2012 01:02PM

Shea Weber is smiling knowing that he will make $110 million for the remainder of his NHL career. That's some pretty sweet financial security for Weber, but I wonder what Preds' GM David Poile is thinking right now?

Does he match or take four first-round picks?

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