AHL vs. NHL Success: Years Three and Four

A. Bates
April 27 2012 09:40AM

Is this a guy that can contribute with the Leafs next year?
Photo Cred: Mike Ivall

A few weeks ago I looked at the relationship between an AHL team's success one year and their parent club's success the next. If you read that piece you will know that there wasn't a mathematical correlation. However, I did find that most AHL teams that posted a .600 winning percentage or better saw their NHL parent club in the post season the following year (if you missed it you can find it here).

This, of course, was some good news for Leafs fans as the Marlies placed second in their conference with a .632 winning percentage this year.

I know that it wasn't perfect looking into just one year - there are so many variables that can affect an NHL teams performance - so I decided (along with some people asking) to look at the NHL teams performance three and four years removed from a dominant AHL season.

The results aren't as comforting this time around. Follow me over the jump for graphs and analysis.

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Luongo Liability

JP Nikota
April 25 2012 09:44PM


Whether or not Brian Burke should trade for Roberto Luongo (or even Tim Thomas) is contingent on a number of issues that many, (including The Leafs Nation's own John Lofranco) have already discussed. There are a number of potential wrinkles, from cap space, to the asking price, to what the Vancouver Canucks or Boston Bruins currently need.

Before we begin to consider any of those issues however, I think it's critical to assess the risk that Luongo represents as a 33-year-old-goaltender. While it's true that $5.33M isn't a bad price to pay for top-flight netminding, the length of the term on the contract would make it a terrible burden if Luongo performed poorly.

Jump for a couple graphs.

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Team Canada Takes Shape – And Looks Pretty Good, Too

Jonathan Willis
April 25 2012 11:54AM

With the additions of Duncan Keith and Patrick Sharp, this year’s Canadian entry at the World Championships is shaping up to be one of the strongest we’ve seen recently. Given how Canada has fared the last few years at the Worlds, that’s a very good thing.

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Tony Clement has reached a new low

Danny Gray
April 24 2012 05:37PM



Who should I cheer for this time?

Speaking of throwing up in your mouth, it seems as though Canadian politicians have embraced the 2012 Ottawa Senators as this years “Canada’s Team”. 

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Gustavsson, Reimer and Scrivens; just the stats, sir

Cam Charron
April 24 2012 04:55PM

What follows is a dry look at three goaltenders for the Toronto Maple Leafs this past season.

In no way am I caliming that any of the following information is predictive. All I can tell you is that it is reliable, and takes into account the three Leafs' goaltenders over 81 games this season. Jussi Rynnas is not on the list because he had a single start.

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