Winners and Losers under the current CBA (Part 1)

Graphic Comments
September 12 2012 03:07PM

 Winners and Losers

(This was originally published at NHLNumbers, but I felt it warranted wider distribution. The rest of the series will be published at NHLNumbers.)

So, just why are we on the brink of yet another NHL lockout? This graph provides a pretty good explanation.

But not many are really digging into the financial ins and outs of the NHL's internal economy. Instead, there's plenty of finger pointing going on between the two sides, by the media, and among the fans. Especially the rabble on Twitter, whose "uninformed ramblings" are inconsequential to the outcome, according to NHL deputy commissioner, Bill Daly. And in truth, he's quite right. He just doesn't have to be so rude about it.

But that's for another post on another day with altogether more amateurly hand-drawn charts. Today we're sticking with good old Excel as we go inside the NHL's finances; or at least a reasonable facsimile thereof, as compiled by our good friends at Forbes in their annual list of NHL team valuations. What do the financial performance metrics tell us about what differentiates the winners from the losers in today's NHL?

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Front-loading the CBA

Cam Charron
September 12 2012 08:01AM

From Michael Grange's Monday column:

If the owners promised to pay the players the dollar value of the contracts they've signed them to and let the player's share of HRR shrink over time, the players would very likely sign up Wednesday afternoon. If the players were willing to let their share of HRR diminish to 50 per cent or so sooner rather than later, the owners might go for it, but the players are still trying to win battles they lost seven years ago.

This is an extremely interesting thought. I'm going to work this post under two assumptions:

  1. The NHLPA does not want salaries to be rolled back
  2. The NHL wants to control costs in the future

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UPDATE—Window open for Scrivens to play in AHL if signed

Cam Charron
September 12 2012 04:45AM

This came from Aaron Portzline of the Columbus Dispatch last night:

The second agreement reached today allows veteran minor-leaguers – those on non-entry two-way contracts – to be passed through waivers before midnight Saturday, when the CBA expires.

The “waiver window” had to be created by the league and union, otherwise those players would have been “stuck” at the NHL level and unable to play in the American Hockey League during the lockout. For the Blue Jackets, it affects forwards Cody Bass, Nick Drazenovich, Andrew Joudrey and Ryan Russell, defenseman Nick Holden, and goaltender Curtis McElhinney.

Hey, at least they agree on something now. The only current Maple Leaf this affects will be Ben Scrivens, and that's only if he's signed to a deal by the time the lockout hits. Cody Franson, who also doesn't have a deal, would have to sign a two-way deal, depending on the terms of this agreement.

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Jake Gardiner, a goals against retrospective, Part I

Cam Charron
September 11 2012 02:28PM

Jake Gardiner was on the ice for 62 even strength goals against last season, and Lord help us if we don't go through each and every one to try and pin the blame on somebody else.

I've been planning this project for a while now, but now that Michal Roszival has decided to sign with the Chicago Blackhawks, it's a tinge more urgent. The Toronto Maple Leafs still have one defenceman that I consider to be good enough to be in an NHL top four, but Gardiner and Carl Gunnarsson both have potential.

Gardiner's first NHL season was a bit of a paradox. He played simultaneously the easiest minutes on the Maple Leafs defence—a 56% offensive zone start rate and a -0.328 Corsi Rel QoC—and the toughest, playing alongside Luke Schenn more than any other Toronto player did.

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Back to the Future Game Recap: Leafs get comeback SO win vs. Capitals

A. Bates
September 11 2012 01:03PM

For reasons well known to everyone, it is really hard to get excited / think about hockey right now. We should be gearing up for rookie tournaments, training camp and exhibition games over the next couple weeks to get us pumped up for the regular season. Unfortunately it seems as though none of these events are going to start on time or happen at all. So, we are all going to have to get used to this hockey rut we`re all in.
I have something that may help.
On a rare Monday night game, coming off an even rarer shootout win against the eventual Eastern Conference champion Boston Bruins (that has to be some kind of mistake), the Leafs were in Washington to face the eventual regular season Eastern Conference winner Capitals.

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