Leafs’ Chance Takers (Christmas break update)

Here’s an up-to-date table that shows the number of Scoring Chances that came off the stick of each Leaf player thus far in the 2010-11 campaign.

I’ve listed their total count and then the number of chances they had at 5-on-5 and 5-on-4.  I have no data from the Nov. 18 game against New Jersey.

TSC – Total Scoring Chances
TGC – Total Goals (scoring chances converted into goals), goals that weren’t counted as a scoring chance are not included. ChS % – Scoring Chance Shooting Percentage.

Player TSC TG ChS % 5v5 C 5v5 G 5v4 C 5v4 G
P. KESSEL 87 11 12.8 58 5 20 3
M. GRABOVSKI 72 9 12.5 53 7 14 2
N. KULEMIN 65 9 13.8 47 7 2 1
K. VERSTEEG 59 7 11.9 32 3 20 1
T. BOZAK 43 4 9.3 29 1 12 3
C. MACARTHUR 43 9 20.9 34 6 9 3
T. KABERLE 19 1 5.3 8 1 11 0
F. SJOSTROM 18 1 5.6 16 1 0 0
N. KADRI 17 0 0 15 0 1 0
F. BEAUCHEMIN 15 2 13.3 10 2 3 0
J. MITCHELL 14 1 7.1 12 0 1 1
D. PHANEUF 14 1 7.1 8 1 6 0
T. BRENT 13 3 23.1 12 3 1 0
C. ARMSTRONG 13 1 7.7 12 1 0 0
M. BROWN 11 1 9.1 10 1 0 0
L. CAPUTI 10 0 0 9 0 1 0
L. SCHENN 9 1 11.1 7 1 2 0
B. LEBDA 6 0 0 3 0 2 0
C. ORR 4 2 50.0 4 2 0 0
C. GUNNARSSON 3 0 0 3 0 0 0
M. ZIGOMANIS 3 0 0 3 0 0 0
M. KOMISAREK 3 0 0 2 0 0 0
J. CRABB 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
K. AULIE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
K. HOLZER 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

A few notes:

– The Leafs top six forwards have taken 67.9 % (368 of 542) of all Toronto’s scoring chances; at 5-on-5, 65.0 % (253 of 389).
– Phil Kessel leads the team in Scoring Chances as well as total goals.  Per game, Kessel averages 2.7 chances.
– In the first 12 games of the season, Mikhail Grabovski had 24 chances and no goals. Since then, he’s scored 9 goals on 48 chances and added 2 more goals from non-scoring chance areas (he’s been scoring from everywhere lately).  He has 8 goals in his last 9 games, and 12 in his last 21.
– Nazem Kadri ought to hit the back of the net one of these days, as he currently sits with 17 chances but has yet to score his first NHL goal.
– Kris Versteeg scored 3 goals while the Leafs had a two-man advantage, off of 4 chances. Meanwhile, he leads the team in SCs at 5-on-4 and potted just 1 goal there.
– Clark MacArthur has contributed only 6 Scoring Chances in his last 10 games.

  • Usually a shot taken anywhere from within the prime scoring area, near the sides of the goal out to the faceoff dots and then straight from there to the top of the circles, are counted as scoring chances. Shots from outside can also be considered if they go through traffic (multiple players in front) or a screen or if they come off quick rebounds, etc. But generally shots from closer in are the ones that go into the net. Missed shots may be counted but not blocked shots. I record chances as I watch the games, either live or off a recording.

    I’ve also explained my method of counting scoring chances within this post: http://theleafsnation.com/2010/11/22/game-20-dallas-toronto-nov-22-2010-4-1-win

    In addition to the 78 chances you mentioned, Kessel has accumulated 5 chances at 4-on-4, 2 at 4-on-5, and 1 each at 5-on-3 and 4-on-3. I just didn’t have enough space to include all different manpower situations.

  • Please forgive me, as I’m sure you’ve explained this before, how do you define a scoring chance? Is is an arbitrary decision by you? Does that mean a shot that hits the post is not a scoring chance? Also, a long shot from centre ice would not be a scoring chance? Or do you do it differently?

    Because Kessel has 87 SCs, but only 78 5-on-5 and 5-on-4, does mean the nine others came shorthanded and on 5-on-3s?

    I love the chart…just wondering about the details. Do you do all this while you are watching the game…or is it a slow process with the PVR?