Over the 2010-11 season, I tracked scoring chances for 80 of 82 Toronto Maple Leafs games, with the other two games tracked by other bloggers. I’ve already posted team statistics for Even Strength, Power Play, and Short Handed situations here at LeafsNation. Now we’re going to dig deeper, starting with a look at High Quality Scoring Chances during even play.

For each scoring chance that I recorded during a game, I gave them a grade of A, B, or C. The highest quality chances were given an A rating. HQ chances that fit under my personal criteria include odd man rushes/breakaways, rebounds (almost always), and shots from high percentage areas of the ice by players who were uncovered or met little resistance from the defence.

At even strength, the Leafs produced 270 HQ scoring chances and scored 69 goals for a 25.6 % conversion rate. The opposition scored on 26.6 % of their chances, with 85 goals on 319 chances.

Forward	ES Min	HQF	HQA	HQF/60	HQA/60	DIF/60
M. FRATTIN	13.42	2	0	8.94	0	+8.94
J. COLBORNE	14.23	2	0	8.43	0	+8.43
M. GRABOVSKI	1200.78	103	101	5.15	5.05	+0.10
M. MUELLER	30.05	1	1	2.00	2.00	0
M. ZIGOMANIS	39.10	2	2	3.07	3.07	0
P. KESSEL	1262.05	106	106	5.04	5.04	0
K. VERSTEEG*	739.92	56	58	4.54	4.70	-0.16
T. BOZAK	1159.07	96	101	4.97	5.23	-0.26
N. KULEMIN	1097.40	90	95	4.92	5.19	-0.27
J. CRABB	543.78	35	39	3.86	4.30	-0.44
C. MACARTHUR	1130.25	87	97	4.62	5.15	-0.53
J. MITCHELL*	249.00	16	20	3.86	4.82	-0.96
C. ARMSTRONG	682.98	47	58	4.13	5.10	-0.97
L. CAPUTI	55.72	1	2	1.08	2.15	-1.08
N. KADRI	381.93	21	30	3.30	4.71	-1.41
M. BROWN	404.83	18	28	2.67	4.15	-1.48
C. HANSON	34.35	0	1	0	1.75	-1.75
D. BOYCE	492.22	24	40	2.93	4.88	-1.95
F. SJOSTROM	606.32	18	38	1.78	3.76	-1.98
T. BRENT	684.33	30	53	2.63	4.65	-2.02
J. ROSEHILL	134.95	4	9	1.78	4.00	-2.22
C. ORR	218.87	7	19	1.92	5.21	-3.29
Defense	ES Min	HQF	HQA	HQF/60	HQA/60	DIF/60
T. KABERLE*	1000.40	80	68	4.80	4.08	0.72
K. HOLZER	23.92	2	2	5.02	5.02	0
L. SCHENN	1496.65	115	119	4.61	4.77	-0.16
B. LEBDA	446.17	35	39	4.71	5.24	-0.54
D. PHANEUF	1259.07	83	100	3.96	4.77	-0.81
F. BEAUCHEMIN*	998.88	67	82	4.02	4.93	-0.90
C. GUNNARSSON	943.55	61	77	3.88	4.90	-1.02
K. AULIE	672.97	43	61	3.83	5.44	-1.60
M. KOMISAREK	877.95	47	80	3.21	5.47	-2.26
M. LASHOFF	126.43	6	15	2.85	7.12	-4.27
Goalie	ES Min	HQF	HQA	HQF/60	HQA/60	DIF/60
J. REIMER	1667.75	123	131	4.43	4.71	-0.29
J. GIGUERE	1242.12	87	97	4.20	4.69	-0.48
J. GUSTAVSSON	962.40	51	91	3.18	5.67	-2.49
ALL GOALIES	3872.27	261	319	4.04	4.94	-0.90

 

At even strength, the Leafs were outchanced overall, so it’s no surprise that they trailed the opposition in terms of high quality scoring chances too.

The scoring line regulars clearly stand out above the rest of the forwards, offensively.  Mikhail Grabovski was the only forward with significant playing time to have seen more HQCs created than given up while on the ice.  Likewise on defence for the departed Tomas Kaberle.

Quality of Competition and ZoneStarts (provided by the terrific BehindtheNet site) should be taken into consideration alongside the scoring chance statistics.

Wilson worked to give favourable icetime conditions to his two offensive lines, instead of going with frequent power vs. power matchups. Grabovski’s line and Kessel’s line gave up over 5 HQCA per game, while the bottom enders were under (except Colby Armstrong and Colton Orr).

Tim Brent had among the toughest icetime on the team, as he faced tough competition while having the lowest ZoneStart % on the team, but he was able to push his HQCA/60 under the team average.  However, he and the other bottom sixers couldn’t create very much in the way of an effective offensive attack.  And to the shock of no one, the two enforcers Rosehill and Orr, had the worst differential of all forwards.

Dion Phaneuf, Francois Beauchemin, and Keith Aulie handled the toughest minutes of all defencemen.  #3 and #22 gave up slightly less high quality chances against than the team average but the rookie Aulie had a tougher go of it.

Pointing out how bad Brett Lebda was is like beating a dead horse at this point, but still, he did horribly despite getting the easiest shifts on the team.  Komisarek had a terrible season as well but the recent additions of John-Michael Liles and Cody Franson should surely mean less minutes available for godawful defenders next year.

Once again, we can see that Jonas Gustavsson had terrible support. The Leafs were porous defensively and their chances of winning the games was pretty much left up to favourable shooting & save percentages (or should we say, luck).  Gus wasn’t always equal to this difficult task and took some heat for it.  Here’s hoping things turn around for him next season…