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Diving into the Leafs’ luck in one-goal games

For those who’ve been involved in the advanced stats community for a while, you’ve probably come to realize that luck plays a pretty big role in team analysis. Bad teams who are getting good results tend to be getting some lucky bounces going their way, and the good teams who are getting bad results tend…

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Leafs likely to get new ECHL affiliate based in St. John’s, Newfoundland

The b’ys must be fired up about this one! According to the Gander Beacon newspaper, the ECHL is set to announce an expansion team affiliated with your very own Toronto Maple Leafs. The move would effectively end Toronto’s partnership with the Orlando Solar Bears, who they’ve been associated with since the 2013-14 season. Toronto, of…

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Are Scoring Chances Better Than Corsi?

[If you want the results without any preamble, jump past the first sub-headline.] Several years ago hockey analysts began using a statistic called Corsi to analyse team and player quality.  While people have often called Corsi an “advanced statistic”, it’s really just the same idea as +/- but with a larger sample size; you add…