by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post
By the end of last season, the Toronto Maple Leafs were starting to have their way when heavily favoured, which is a trend their backers hope they’ll extend into a new NHL season.
The Maple Leafs are -300 moneyline favorites against the +235 underdog Ottawa Senators with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Wednesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Toronto is 20-10 in its last 30 games as a home favourite of -200 to -500 on the moneyline with the total finishing OVER in 19 of those 30 contests, including eight of the last nine. Ottawa is 4-16 in its last 20 away games as a +200 or more moneyline underdog with the total finishing OVER 11 times.
Senators at Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
Ottawa finished dead last in the NHL with 64 points last season and their over/under for 2019/20 is at 68.5 at online betting sites, suggesting improvement might be more conceptual. The Senators do have a new coach in D.J. Smith, a former Leafs assistant, and a promising first-pairing defenseman in Thomas Chabot. But it’s not clear whether their top two lines centered by Colin White and Chris Tierney – with ex-Leaf Connor Brown now a top-six right wing – will generate offence consistently.
Craig Anderson will start in goal for the Senators, who have had the total go OVER in their last eight away games in October according to the OddsShark NHL Database.
Toronto has high expectations after tallying 100 points last season and scoring 286 goals, the fourth-most in the league. But a team who has had the total finish OVER in four of their last six home games played in the first half of October does have significant turnover with 13 new faces in the opening-night lineup compared to the 2018/19 season opener.
That does mean that the Auston Matthews-led first line that also includes William Nylander and the John Tavares-Kasperi Kapanen-Mitch Marner second line might have to torque up the offence to cover for breakdowns behind the Leafs’ blue line. With defenseman Travis Dermott (shoulder surgery) not yet back the Leafs’ depth on the back end is questionable.
Frederik Andersen will start in goal for the Maple Leafs.
The Leafs are beginning the regular season with four games in six days, visiting the Columbus Blue Jackets on Friday before hosting the Montreal Canadiens on Saturday and the St. Louis Blues on Monday.