Maple Leafs at Stars 01/29/20 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

by OddsShark (@OddsShark)

The Toronto Maple Leafs’ capability to be a great road team could come under strain against the NHL’s No. 1 defensive team, but they might have the edge when it comes to a one-day turnaround.

The Maple Leafs are the -105 away underdog while the Dallas Stars are a -115 home favorite with a 6.0-goal total on the NHL odds for Wednesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Toronto is 8-2 in its last 10 away games and is also 8-1 in its last nine away games against the Western Conference since Sheldon Keefe was named coach on November 20. The Maple Leafs are also 8-2 in their last 10 games against Dallas.

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Maple Leafs at Stars | OddsShark Matchup Report

However, the Stars are 12-8 in their last 20 home games against Eastern Conference teams with the total finishing UNDER 16 times at online sports betting sites. The total has also gone UNDER in eight of the Stars’ last 11 games as a home favorite, although they are just 6-5 in those contests.

The Maple Leafs are 26-17-7 this season after a resounding 5-2 away win against the Nashville Predators on Monday. They are 10-6-4 when playing with one day’s rest. Center Auston Matthews and wingers Mitch Marner and William Nylander each had points to continue their prolific recent scoring pace as Toronto also improved to sixth in the 31-team NHL in five-on-five shot-attempt percentage (52.6 percent). The Maple Leafs are third in goals scored (3.60 per game) and 27th in goals against (3.29). On special teams, the power play is ranked sixth (24.4 percent) but the penalty killing unit is ranked 25th (76.3).

Frederik Andersen, who has a 23-9-6 record this season with a 2.86 goals-against average and .910 save percentage, is likely to start in goal for Toronto. Andersen has a 2.57 GAA and .922 save percentage with one day off since his last start.

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The Stars are 28-17-4 this season after a 3-2 overtime win against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday, but are only 9-12-2 when they have had one day’s rest since their previous game. The strength of Dallas’ roster is a defense corps led by Miro Heiskanen and John Klingberg, while centers Tyler Seguin and Roope Hintz lead the attack for a team ranked 20th in five-on-five shot-attempt percentage (48.9 percent). Dallas is 28th in goals scored (2.57), but first in the entire NHL in goals against (2.45). On special teams, the Stars’ power play is ranked 21st (19.1 percent) and they are sixth in penalty killing (82.8).

Dallas’ primary goalie, Ben Bishop, has a 17-10-3 record with 2.27 goals-against average and .927 save percentage. Bishop has only played in 10 games this season with one day of rest and has a 2.61 GAA and .909 save percentage in those matchups.

The Maple Leafs are home for five of their first seven games in February, starting against the Ottawa Senators in Toronto on Saturday.

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