by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post
The Toronto Maple Leafs might be a risky moneyline play in a crucial divisional matchup against one of the NHL’s other prolific offenses. The Maple Leafs are the -170 home favorite while the Florida Panthers are the +150 away underdog with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Monday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
The Maple Leafs lost 8-4 at Florida in the Atlantic Division counterparts’ most recent matchup on January 12, but are 7-0 in the Panthers’ last seven visits to Scotiabank Arena. Toronto, however, is just 8-6 over 14 home games where they closed as a moneyline favorite of -150 to -190 at online betting sites – but seven of the victories were by two or more goals, suggesting Maple Leafs backers might find more value on the puck line. Florida is also 5-4 over nine road games as a +140 to +160 moneyline underdog.
Panthers at Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
Toronto has a two-point lead over Florida in the Atlantic standings, but the Panthers hold two games in hand. While they are both among the NHL’s highest-scoring teams, the Panthers have had the total go UNDER in three consecutive divisional road games while the Maple Leafs have gone UNDER in four of their last five divisional home games.
The Panthers are 28-17-5 this season and were in the final Atlantic playoff berth until Saturday. With an offense led by center Aleksander Barkov and wings Jonathan Huberdeau and Evgenii Dadonov, Florida is very efficient and scores goals with the best of them even though they are 16th in the 31-team NHL in five-on-five shot-attempt percentage (49.8 percent). They are second in goals scored (3.60 per game) but 25th in goals against (3.28). The Panthers have a sixth-ranked power play (23.6) and 24th-ranked penalty killing unit (77.7).
Florida’s primary goalie, Sergei Bobrovsky, has a 19-13-4 record with a 3.26 goals-against average and .897 save percentage. Bobrovsky started on February 1 and has a 3.20 GAA and .902 save percentage when he plays with one day of rest.
The Maple Leafs are 28-17-7, including a 5-1 record in their last six home games against the Atlantic. Toronto, which is fifth in five-on-five shot-attempt percentage (52.6 percent), will need the overall depth of its top three forward lines centered by Auston Matthews, John Tavares and Pierre Engvall to cancel out the Panthers’ big line, while a jerry-rigged defense corps that has allowed only six goals in three games will need to continue to be sharp. The Maple Leafs are third in goal scoring (3.60 per game) and 24th in goals against (3.21). They have a fourth-ranked power play (24.6) and 25th-ranked penalty killing unit (76.1).
Frederik Andersen should be back in goal for the first time since January 29. The Maple Leafs goalie has a 24-9-6 record with 2.87 goals-against average and .910 save percentage, but his individual stat line includes a 3.24 GAA and .903 save percentage when he has three or more days’ rest between starts.
The Maple Leafs visit the New York Rangers on Wednesday and have a rare Friday home game against the Anaheim Ducks before visiting the rival Montreal Canadiens on Saturday.