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Leafs Vs. Canes Scoring Chances
alt
JP Nikota
Nov 26, 2011, 15:00 EST
When Toronto played in Carolina last week and only lost 3-2, they had only Ben Scrivens and Phil Kessel to thank. Sure, it was a regulation loss, and at the end of the season, a 6-0 loss is worth the same number of points as 3-2 loss, but it’s a whole lot easier on us fans.
The second period was the worst I have yet to track, with the Hurricanes out-chacing the Leafs 11-0, despite the fact that the Canes already held a 1-0 lead. In fact, including the two chances the Canes had at the end of the first, there was a 13-0 streak against the Leafs.
That the Leafs managed to stay out of the box for large stretches of the game was probably a big factor, as they only gave up two 5-on-4 advantages, and the Hurricanes capitalized on one of them. (Note that their PP goal came in the second, but was not technically considered a chance.)
The only Leaf to out-chance his opponents at even strength? Cody Franson.
I expect the picture to look somewhat rosier when I look at the next game, the Leafs’ 7-1 drubbing of the Tampa Bay Lightning.
One other note I will add is that I have begun tracking what type of chances are occurring. Follow me over the jump for a list of scoring chance types.
SUST = Sustained pressure: this can mean a number of things, including a chance from cycling the puck, a chance off a blocked shot, the result of a scrum, or just hemming a team in with a series of good forechecking and passing.
TIP = An intentionally tipped shot. Pretty straightforward.
RUSH = Again, this one is straightforward, though it should be noted that I specify if the rush is ever odd-manned.
1T = One timer. If a shot comes as a one-timer, and the play is on a rush, it will be labelled ‘RUSH’. If the one-timer comes off sustained pressure, it will be labelled ‘1T’.
TO = Turnover by the defending team: if the puck is turned over, then passed, then shot, it will be labelled ‘RUSH’ or ‘SUST’. The puck has to be shot by the player intercepting the pass/play.
REBD = Rebound: similar to the turnover, if a player picks up a rebound and then passes it to a teammate for a chance, it will be labelled ‘SUST’. The chance has to be taken by the first player on the puck to be considered a rebound.
BKWY = Breakaway: a player has to have a completely unencumbered shot at the net. If there is a defender hanging off their back, the chance will be labelled ‘RUSH’.
Other types of chances may crop up over the course of the season – a penalty shot being one – but these were all the types necessary to do my first game of scoring chance types. Hopefully, after a much larger number of games, we’ll have some good info on the types of chances the Leafs have been giving up, and be able to identify trends in individual performances – particularly goalies and rebounds.
Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 20286
 
Team
Period
Time
Note
TOR
Opponent
 
CAR
1
19:00
Harrison – SUST
3
19
30
36
42
81
15
16
28
30
44
53
5v5
TOR
1
16:36
Orr – TIP
4
11
24
28
30
38
5
6
16
19
30
39
5v5
TOR
1
16:27
Dupuis – RUSH
4
11
24
28
30
38
16
19
28
30
39
44
5v5
TOR
1
16:03
Bozak – RUSH
3
19
30
36
42
81
16
19
28
30
39
44
5v5
CAR
1
14:38
LaRose – SUST
2
30
32
39
41
51
5
6
23
30
36
59
5v5
CAR
1
13:43
Stuart – RUSH
3
11
28
30
36
38
5
6
11
13
30
37
5v5
CAR
1
8:56
Sutter – 1T
3
19
24
30
42
81
5
6
23
30
36
59
5v5
CAR
1
8:36
Tlusty – TIP
3
19
24
30
42
81
5
6
16
19
30
39
5v5
TOR
1
7:26
Frattin – RUSH
3
4
12
30
39
41
23
28
30
36
44
59
5v5
TOR
1
7:14
Kulemin – TO
2
12
30
39
41
51
4
12
15
30
51
53
5v5
CAR
1
1:53
LaRose – SUST
2
12
30
41
46
51
5
6
23
30
37
59
5v5
CAR
1
0:29
Harrison – SUST
3
20
30
32
36
46
12
15
28
30
44
53
5v5
CAR
2
17:35
Ponikarovsky – REBD
2
12
30
39
46
51
5
6
23
30
37
59
5v5
CAR
2
17:06
Stewart – 1T
2
12
30
39
46
51
5
6
13
30
37
59
5v5
CAR
2
15:04
Dwyer – RUSH
2
19
30
36
42
81
5
6
16
19
30
39
5v5
CAR
2
14:55
Ruutu – SUS
3
12
30
36
39
41
4
12
15
30
51
53
5v5
CAR
2
13:22
LaRose – RUSH
3
20
30
36
46
 
23
28
30
36
44
59
4v5
CAR
2
13:13
Skinner – REBD
2
12
30
46
51
 
23
28
30
36
44
59
4v5
CAR
2
12:55
Jokinen – OWN
2
12
30
46
51
 
23
28
30
36
44
59
4v5
CAR
2
10:41
Falk – REBD
4
19
24
30
32
 
12
28
30
44
59
 
4v4
CAR
2
9:57
Sutter – RUSH
2
12
19
30
51
81
15
16
19
28
30
44
5v5
CAR
2
3:36
Ruutu – REBD
3
19
24
30
42
81
5
6
13
15
30
37
5v5
CAR
2
2:00
Skinner – RUSH
3
11
30
32
36
46
5
6
12
15
30
53
5v5
TOR
3
17:25
Connolly – RUSH 2-1
3
12
30
36
39
41
5
6
11
13
30
36
5v5
TOR
3
15:29
Kessel – REBD
3
12
19
30
81
 
5
6
16
30
 
 
4v3
TOR
3
15:09
Frattin – REBD
3
30
36
39
42
 
12
28
30
44
53
 
4v4
TOR
3
13:40
Crabb – BKWY
3
12
19
30
36
46
4
23
30
36
51
59
5v5
TOR
3
13:34
Gunnarsson – SUS
3
12
19
30
36
46
4
23
30
36
51
59
5v5
TOR
3
7:07
Connolly – RUSH
4
12
24
30
39
41
5
6
12
15
30
53
5v5
CAR
3
6:55
Staal – BKWY
4
12
24
30
39
41
5
6
12
15
30
53
5v5
CAR
3
6:53
Skinner – REBD
4
12
24
30
39
41
5
6
12
15
30
53
5v5
CAR
3
6:42
Sutter – SUS
3
19
30
36
42
81
16
19
28
30
39
44
5v5
CAR
3
4:55
Ruutu – REBD
3
12
30
36
39
46
12
15
19
28
30
44
5v5
CAR
3
2:44
Skinner – 1T
12
24
30
46
51
 
4
12
15
30
51
53
4v5
TOR
3
2:00
Kulemin – RUSH
3
20
30
36
41
 
12
15
28
30
44
53
4v5
TOR
3
1:00
Kessel – SUS
12
19
24
42
51
81
6
16
19
30
39
44
5v5
TOR
3
0:33
Kessel – TIP
3
12
19
24
42
81
5
6
12
16
30
39
5v5
#
Player
EV
PP
SH
2
L. SCHENN
12:49
1
6
0:00
0
0
3:26
0
2
3
D. PHANEUF
21:02
7
10
1:16
1
0
3:41
1
1
4
C. FRANSON
14:15
4
3
0:00
0
0
0:00
0
0
11
P. DUPUIS
5:59
2
2
0:00
0
0
3:43
0
0
12
T. CONNOLLY
16:27
8
8
1:01
1
0
3:27
0
3
19
J. LUPUL
19:18
5
8
1:01
1
0
0:07
0
0
20
D. STECKEL
10:33
0
1
0:00
0
0
5:12
1
1
24
J. LILES
18:32
5
6
0:36
0
0
1:51
0
1
28
C. ORR
4:37
2
1
0:00
0
0
0:00
0
0
30
B. SCRIVENS
48:49
10
19
1:16
1
0
8:49
1
4
32
J. COLBORNE
11:48
0
4
0:15
0
0
0:00
0
0
36
C. GUNNARSSON
18:46
5
8
0:24
0
0
4:20
1
1
38
J. ROSEHILL
5:07
2
1
0:00
0
0
0:00
0
0
39
M. FRATTIN
14:01
5
7
0:15
0
0
0:04
0
0
41
N. KULEMIN
10:30
4
5
0:15
0
0
1:21
1
0
42
T. BOZAK
16:28
4
6
0:00
0
0
0:00
0
0
46
J. CRABB
11:33
2
6
0:00
0
0
3:38
0
4
51
J. GARDINER
14:29
2
5
0:00
0
0
4:20
0
3
81
P. KESSEL
19:43
3
7
0:52
1
0
0:06
0
0
Period
Totals
EV
PP
5v3 PP
SH
5v3 SH
1
5
7
5
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
11
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
3
9
5
7
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Totals
14
23
12
19
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
0