Leafs POSTGAME - The Leafs beat the Oilers and Phil Kessel is a God.

Cam Charron
October 29 2013 10:45PM


Come on, Phil. Act like you've been there before.

Phil Kessel really is too good.

The glaring hole in his game is on defence. He has trouble recovering the puck, but once he gets it, he's unstoppable at this point. Kessel is a step faster than anybody else on the ice. Kessel has a little more awareness than anybody else on the ice. He thinks a little quicker. He is known for his goal-scoring, but he's almost as every bit a playmaker. He can shoot from any angle, from any speed.

The Edmonton Oilers traded away Ryan Smyth at the 2007 trading deadline, in the hopes of finding the next superstar. One played at Rexall Place on Tuesday night in Edmonton, but he wasn't Edmonton's. Kessel scored twice and had two helpers in a 4-0 win by the Leafs over the Oilers.

THE RUNDOWN

Right off the bat, we saw Kessel's speed and awareness. After recovering the puck in his own zone just 57 seconds into the game, Kessel put the puck safely back to his defenceman Cody Franson, looked at the ice ahead of him, like a poker player surveying the table after a deal trying to spot the sucker. Just watch him:

Just watch him on this play after giving the puck up. The rookie, Nail Yakupov, probably hasn't weighed the possibilities of what might happen if the Oilers lose the puck battle on the far boards, but Kessel has. As soon as Mason Raymond chips it forward, it's too late. Kessel's already behind Yakupov. From the time he gives the puck up to Franson, Kessel basically skates in a straight line from there to where he eventually scored the first goal of the game, varying only his speed down the ice. 

It's also a great battle won by Nazem Kadri against Justin Schultz, and it's great to see Kessel play with a centreman that can win those types of battles and keep control of the puck with it. The move by Kessel past Richard Bachman is elementary—as soon as Kessel's in the slot, you know what's coming. 1-0 Toronto. 

The rest of the first period belonged to James Reimer. Reimer made a couple of big stops in the first, although created some hairy situations with puck-control and rebounding. Stuff he's criticized for, but it rarely does lead to chances like that. As long as he recovered, fine. Reimer stopped 14 shots in the first, but the Leafs offence did very well that period, shooting 12 at Bachman.

In the second period, very early on it was another odd-man rush (Edmonton is not very good at defending against odd-man rushes. An Oilers defenceman again is pinching, and look at the purpose in Kessel's stride once he notices. He's at the red line before James van Riemsdyk even hits the Leafs blue line, giving Kessel ample time to cross over to the other side of the ice, wait for help, and draw the defenceman Anton Belov over:

It's not even fair.

Third goal is a standard zone entry. Kessel brings it in, and rather than chipping it in deep as many players would do in the situation, he waits for van Riemsdyk to get open along the far boards. When the puck is loose, Kessel is the first one to it. When the puck is loose again, Kessel is again the first one to it, and rips an incredible shot upstairs from a ridiculous angle:

3-0.

Rest of the Leafs period appeared to mostly be controlled by the Leafs, but the shot attempt chart at Extra Skater showed that the Leafs won out by just a very slim margin. The Leafs took 15 unblocked shots and the Oilers had 13. The difference to that point may have been James Reimer. A couple of Edmonton bloggers who count scoring chances had the overall scoring chances at even: Dennis King had them 12-12 and Jonathan Willis had them 11-11. In an even game, it's important to have a good goaltender.

Third period, the Leafs struck again. Initially it looked like Morgan Rielly's goal, but Sportsnet Edmonton showed the overhead angle that quite clearly shows the puck went off of Nazem Kadri's skate and above Bachman's pad. The zone entry here is actually credited to Carter Ashton, who chipped it in so he could change on the fly.

Should of* passed to Kessel.

Instead, Kadri comes in with speed and forces Jeff Petry to make a bad play. Van Riemsdyk picks up the loose puck, passes it to Kessel and Kessel—and I actually timed this—goes from turning around to putting a PERFECT tip pass right onto Rielly's stick in exactly 0.7 seconds:

Anyway, shame it wasn't Rielly's goal, but when the puck hit Kadri's skate, the puck clearly changed course and elevated. If Kadri doesn't hit it, the puck may not even go in the net, or it's blocked by Petry, or some other thing silly. A lot of goals are the result of silly and unusual things that happen around the net.

The other goals that happen in this sport happen because Phil Kessel is a God. 

WHY THE LEAFS WON

Well, they're probably a better team than the Edmonton Oilers, which helps. The Oilers were playing their third string goalie, which helps, and the Oilers were without the only guy on the ice that may develop into something even close to what Kessel is right now.

Reimer made a couple of extra saves from the start of the game until the Leafs took a commanding 4-0 lead. The game was even at that point. Score effects kicked in there, and I'm sure we'll hear people on the radio talking about the Leafs winning despite giving up X shots again, but on Tuesday the shot count was mostly because of score effects. The Leafs sat back and the Oilers pressed pretty hard, but Reimer held on for the shutout bid. 

Another thing I quite liked was that the Leafs stayed out of the box against a team that's taken a lot of shots on the powerplay to start the season. It was a pretty dangerous two minutes, with the Oilers taking five shots, but we only saw them once.

BLUE WARRIOR

DERP

NOTES

  • The individual Corsi numbers for this game are going to be out of whack since the game was out of reach for the Oilers quite early. Still, Paul Ranger did pretty well in this measure, at +14 on-ice attempts for and -15 on-ice attempts against, for a nice round minus-1. He also played a team-high 22:15 and a lot of those minutes came in the third, when the Oilers kept throwing pucks at the net. The one Leaf that wasn't a negative? David Clarkson, on for +16 for and -16 against.
     
  • The Kadri-Kessel-JvR line scored all four goals against Sam Gagner and Nail Yakupov, who Eakins matched up against the Leafs top line for over 9 minutes. Bit of an odd call on his part—Yak has generally been kept to the offensive side of the ice, and neither him nor Jordan Eberle, the third man on the trio—are good enough to shut down Kessel from the wing. I thought for sure that Eakins would either ignore the matchup or put a combination of Boyd Gordon and Ales Hemsky on the ice against the Leafs big line.
     
  • Instead, Boyd Gordon spent his time holding Joffrey Lupul, Jay McClement and Carter Ashton to five shots on goal. Win?
     
  • David Perron announced as a late scratch, so the Oilers dressed seven defencemen.
     
  • At one point in the third period, Joe Bowen called James Reimer the "ReimMinister of Defence" which sounds like "Prime Minister of Defence". It would be a great nickname is there actually was such a thing as a "Prime Minister of Defence", but evidently Joe Bowen has never taken a civics class.
     
  • Despite the shutout, I'd roll with Jonathan Bernier Wednesday night against Calgary. Sure, Reimer is rolling right now, but "hot streaks" are illusory.

*I know. That's the joke.

63811cbf517d2d685ea09e103488ea3a
Cam Charron is a BC hockey fan that writes about hockey on many different websites including this one.
Avatar
#1 Tony
October 29 2013, 11:15PM
Trash it!
4
trashes
+1
1
props

I love Kessel and he is amazing player, but lets not get silly goo goo gaa gaa here.

Kessel is shooting an unsustainable 18.4% and his career average is much lower nearer 10 to 11%. He has benefited from a hot/lucky streak recently (unless you are one of those that subscribe to the Randy Carlyle school of quality shooting). Like the leafs, Kessel is not as a good as the current goals/goal differential and results suggests. But in Kessel's case, he is certainly elite.

Avatar
#2 greg
October 29 2013, 11:28PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
5
props

This is the best recap yet. Wooo Phil Kessel!

Avatar
#4 beloch
October 30 2013, 12:13AM
Trash it!
2
trashes
+1
1
props

Fenwick, average s/g, average sa/g, you name it, the Oilers are actually ahead of the Leafs. Score effects be damned, if a goalie faces 43 shots and delivers a shutout he deserves kudos for stealing 2 points! Bachman is an AHL'er and Toronto probably just sent him back where he belongs. Oiler fans have already run out of tears, so don't expect any more to fall for Bachman.

Tomorrow, the Leafs play another team that has shaky goal-tending but better underlying stats than the Leafs. The Flames are not a playoff team, but they're considerably better than the Oilers right now. It should be a somewhat more entertaining game!

Avatar
#5 WesternDP
October 30 2013, 12:20AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
7
props

"Kessel is shooting an unsustainable 18.4% and his career average is much lower nearer 10 to 11%."

It's not 10. In career regular season games its 11.04%, 192 goals on 1739 shots

That career average includes the first two years of 6.5% and 8.9% which drag his career average down. In the last 2 years Kessel has been very consistent with 12.5% and 12.4%.

Kessel's best shooting percentage year is 2008-09 with 36 goals on 232 shots for 15.5% over an entire season!

I think Kessel is trending upwards because of the chemistry playing with JVR. You can see that chemistry, so another year with 13-15.5% is quite possible. He has done it before.

The kicker...almost a point a game in the playoffs with 13 goals on 80 shots for a shooting percentage of 16.3%

Avatar
#6 STAN
October 30 2013, 12:36AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
1
props
Tony wrote:

I love Kessel and he is amazing player, but lets not get silly goo goo gaa gaa here.

Kessel is shooting an unsustainable 18.4% and his career average is much lower nearer 10 to 11%. He has benefited from a hot/lucky streak recently (unless you are one of those that subscribe to the Randy Carlyle school of quality shooting). Like the leafs, Kessel is not as a good as the current goals/goal differential and results suggests. But in Kessel's case, he is certainly elite.

Tony I think you've forgotten who Kessel is now playing with.

Kadri is making a huge difference, as are mobile, puck-smart defenceman Franson and Rielly. Even Phaneuf is playing much better, and that helps out everyone, including a guy like Kessel.

I know it's only been a couple of games, but Kadri, Kessel, JvR is a deadly trio. Bozak will likely find himself on the second or third line when he returns. Just makes far more sense.

I agree that Bernier needs to go back in Thursday in Calgary and then flip a coin (if Bernier is solid) for Saturday's big game in Vancouver.

It'll be curious to see if Liles suits up for he Calgary game, to showcase him briefly for the Flames and Burkie. I have a feeling they're talking trade. Probably a second round pick and the Leafs carry some of Liles contract.

Avatar
#7 beloch
October 30 2013, 01:21AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

@STAN

The Flames just lost one of their top two defenders to a broken ankle until Christmas, but they're still unlikely to bite on Liles. Flames management might have been in denial for half a decade, but they know they're in a rebuild and it's exceedingly unlikely they'll waste a 2nd round pick on an aging veteran who will probably retire before the team makes the playoffs. All Liles could do this season is make the Flames pick later in the draft, if even that. (Admittedly, Liles would have to suck pretty hard not to be an improvement on O'Brian, Butler, or Smith)

Toronto could use some cap space and Calgary has loads, so the Flames might take prospects and picks in return for eating Liles horrid contract. Make no mistake, if Liles goes to Calgary, the picks will be going to Calgary, not coming from.

Avatar
#8 Mac daddy
October 30 2013, 08:52AM
Trash it!
3
trashes
+1
3
props

"Rest of the Leafs period appeared to mostly be controlled by the Leafs, but the shot attempt chart at Extra Skater showed that the Leafs won out by just a very slim margin."

Showing again how those stats can be completely meaningless in a game. The leafs won 4-0, not at all by a slim margin. And it was very obvious to me that the Leafs were the better team for 60 minutes. The 3rd period involved many 4th and 3rd line shifts, the leafs were trying not to embarrass the young Oiler team (wow that sounds weird)by overplaying their scorers. Hence, your shot differential.

Avatar
#9 Grabovski
October 30 2013, 09:11AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props

@beloch

Bryan McCabe and a 4th rounder for Mike Van Ryn!

If there is any interest, it'll work itself out, and a high pick shouldn't be necessary.

Avatar
#11 Mac daddy
October 30 2013, 10:33AM
Trash it!
1
trashes
+1
2
props
Cam Charron wrote:

If you actually put that quote in context of the rest of the paragraph rather than setting me up for "GOTCHA" moments, you'd know that I was specifically talking about the shot clock in the second period, which the Leafs won by a very slim margin.

I did, and if you actually read my comment, you'd see my point was that shot differential can be absolutely meaningless in some games.

So stop referring to it so damn much. Every. Single. Game.

Avatar
#13 Mac daddy
October 30 2013, 11:54AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
2
props
Cam Charron wrote:

The sample game recap, if I remove any points about the process, is simply a box score.

If you want a box score, plenty of websites have those.

So basically you're saying that without your shot differential, you're unable to make an article? Lol.

Avatar
#15 Ryan
October 30 2013, 02:33PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
+1
0
props
Tony wrote:

I love Kessel and he is amazing player, but lets not get silly goo goo gaa gaa here.

Kessel is shooting an unsustainable 18.4% and his career average is much lower nearer 10 to 11%. He has benefited from a hot/lucky streak recently (unless you are one of those that subscribe to the Randy Carlyle school of quality shooting). Like the leafs, Kessel is not as a good as the current goals/goal differential and results suggests. But in Kessel's case, he is certainly elite.

BOO THIS MAN

Comments are closed for this article.