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Sabres at Maple Leafs 12/17/19 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post

The Toronto Maple Leafs appear to have favourable circumstances to continue their success at home against the Buffalo Sabres. After winning three of four games on a western road trip, the Maple Leafs are the -180 favourite while the Sabres are a +160 underdog with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Tuesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

The Maple Leafs are 16-4 in their last 20 home games against the Sabres and are also 8-3 in their last 11 home games as a -180 to -200 favourite, with the total finishing OVER nine times at online sports betting sites. The Sabres are 2-9 in their last 11 games as the away underdog, with the total finishing OVER six times.

Sabres at Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report

The Sabres are 16-11-7 this season, but are only 1-4 in their last five away games against the Atlantic Division. Center Jack Eichel is on a 16-game point streak, but overall the Sabres are averaging just 2.2 goals per game across their last five away games and rank 16th in the 31-team NHL in five-on-five shot-attempt percentage (50.0 per cent). Buffalo ranks 13th in goals scored (3.12) and 15th in goals against (3.00). On special teams, Buffalo has the 15th-ranked power play (18.6 percent) and is 29th in penalty killing (75.2).

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Goaltender Linus Ullmark has started four consecutive games and is 10-6-3 this season with a 2.84 goals-against average and .915 save percentage.

The Maple Leafs are 16-14-4 this season, but are 3-1 in their last four games as their offensive attack led by centers John Tavares and Auston Matthews is beginning to capitalize on controlling the run of play as Toronto stands sixth in the NHL in five-on-five shot-attempt percentage (52.7 percent). The Maple Leafs are ninth in goals scored (3.21 per game) and 23rd in goals against (3.15). Like the Sabres, Toronto handles being up a man better than being down one, as their power play ranks 11th (20.6 percent) and the penalty killing unit ranks 26th (76.6).

With two days off between games, the Maple Leafs should have the option to stick with goalie Frederik Andersen, who is 16-8-3 this season with a 2.49 goals-against average and .921 save percentage.

The Maple Leafs have the next two days off before playing back-to-back, visiting the New York Rangers on Friday prior to hosting the Detroit Red Wings on Saturday.

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