Maple Leafs Pregame #14: 5 Things to Watch against the Capitals
By Jon Steitzer
4 years agoNot a heck of a lot of Leafs hockey this week. We’ll have to enjoy what we get, and tonight we get the return of Travis Dermott, which is good. Unfortunately the Leafs get the very good Washington Capitals team, which is bad. It would be nice to see the Leafs rise to the occasion tonight. It would also be nice if Tom Wilson doesn’t explode anyone tonight because…
- It would be nice to have this team completely healthy soon
- It would be nice for the team toughness debates to die down
Lineups
LW | C | RW | Forwards |
---|---|---|---|
ANDREAS JOHNSSON Rating: 73.6#48 LW | AUSTON MATTHEWS Rating: 80.1#8 C | WILLIAM NYLANDER Rating: 73.6#42 RW | FL1 Rating Rating: 75.78#16 FL1 |
ILYA MIKHEYEV Rating: 74.6#31 LW | ALEXANDER KERFOOT Rating: 72.9#86 C | MITCH MARNER Rating: 78.4#12 RW | FL2 Rating Rating: 75.29#7 FL2 |
TREVOR MOORE Rating: 71.2#111 LW | JASON SPEZZA Rating: 70.7#144 C | KASPERI KAPANEN Rating: 73.5#43 RW | FL3 Rating Rating: 71.80#18 FL3 |
DMYTRO TIMASHOV Rating: 73.5#50 LW | NICK SHORE Rating: 70.8#138 C | FREDERIK GAUTHIER Rating: 69.0#107 RW | FL4 Rating Rating: 71.11#14 FL4 |
DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS | Defense | |
---|---|---|
MORGAN RIELLY Rating: 76.7#8 LD | CODY CECI Rating: 71.7#78 RD | DL1 Rating Rating: 74.21#21 DL1 |
JAKE MUZZIN Rating: 75.5#17 LD | TYSON BARRIE Rating: 75.9#15 RD | DL2 Rating Rating: 75.73#2 DL2 |
TRAVIS DERMOTT Rating: 74.5#33 LD | JUSTIN HOLL Rating: 73.6#42 RD | DL3 Rating Rating: 74.02#5 DL3 |
LW | C | RW | Forwards |
---|---|---|---|
ALEX OVECHKIN Rating: 81.2#3 LW | NICKLAS BACKSTROM Rating: 76.5#28 C | T.J. OSHIE Rating: 76.5#11 RW | FL1 Rating Rating: 78.06#4 FL1 |
JAKUB VRANA Rating: 73.7#58 LW | EVGENY KUZNETSOV Rating: 75.4#38 C | TOM WILSON Rating: 74.2#31 RW | FL2 Rating Rating: 74.42#9 FL2 |
CARL HAGELIN Rating: 71.5#103 LW | LARS ELLER Rating: 73.1#78 C | GARNET HATHAWAY Rating: 71.2#80 RW | FL3 Rating Rating: 71.94#15 FL3 |
BRENDAN LEIPSIC Rating: 69.9#134 LW | NIC DOWD Rating: 70.8#139 C | TRAVIS BOYD Rating: 69.5#105 RW | FL4 Rating Rating: 70.04#27 FL4 |
DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS | Defense | |
---|---|---|
MICHAL KEMPNY Rating: 73.5#54 LD | JOHN CARLSON Rating: 79.7#1 RD | DL1 Rating Rating: 76.62#7 DL1 |
DMITRI ORLOV Rating: 73.4#60 LD | RADKO GUDAS Rating: 71.5#91 RD | DL2 Rating Rating: 72.42#25 DL2 |
JONAS SIEGENTHALER Rating: 72.4#86 LD | NICK JENSEN Rating: 71.5#89 RD | DL3 Rating Rating: 71.94#21 DL3 |
Gudas and Wilson. I don’t like the Leafs chances of getting out of this one safely.
Here are 5 things to watch for…
1. Dermott is back
If nothing else we have this. He will be gently eased back into playing on the third pairing. If all goes well there we can hope that someday we’ll get to see him in a larger role. What that role will be, who knows, be we can certainly hope it involves seeing less of Cody Ceci on the ice.
Dermott’s been no stranger to the third pairing role, and has consistently had positive results for shot differential and expected goals over the past two seasons facing the competition that a third pairing often faces. He’s often been played with more “defensively” minded partners like Ozhiganov and Polak, so it will be interesting to see how he does with Holl, who did work with on the Marlies.
2. Team Toughness
Hoooooooo doggy, this is a loaded one and one that will probably warrant it’s one post sometime soon.
For now let’s look at the fact that the Leafs are playing a team with Tom Wilson and Radko Gudas. The Capitals also have T.J. Oshie and Alex Ovechkin who are prone to dirty plays. Finally throw Garnett Hathaway and Brandon Leipsic into the mix and it looks like the Leafs are going to be sore and need until Saturday to fully recover.
The Capitals are tough, but they are also good. I think that’s what a lot of people want for the Leafs who have proven to be one of the most skilled teams in the league, but don’t exactly leave the opposition feeling sore.
Of course, that’s not entirely true as Jake Muzzin is a very physical player and capable checker. Trevor Moore is in the same class of physicality as Leipsic, and likely a couple of notches above him on skill. The return of Hyman will give the Leafs another forechecker and Kapanen, Mikheyev, and Ceci all hit to some degree.
The two issues that have popped up lately seem to be the Leafs don’t have agitators or anyone who can for a lack of better words, stick up for their teammates.
Rather than search the vast landscape of the NHL, it would be nice to see some of these traits instilled in their current lineup, it’s cheaper and doesn’t involve sacrificing skill. I also want to state that I am not specifically advocating for the Leafs having a “fighter”, just someone who will get in the face of the opposition when something questionable happens.
Like I said, this deserves a bit more thought, but the Leafs are in tough against the Capitals.
3. Tyson Barrie wants more power play time
Frankly I think the Leafs should give it to him. Morgan Rielly is already doing a lot of heavy lifting 5v5, and if they can potentially get more out of Rielly while handing some of the powerplay workload to Barrie without losing much, I say go for it.
That being said, I can’t think of a single hockey player ever who wants to give up their powerplay time, so I have to imagine Rielly is going to stick with the top unit until he gives them a reason to not keep him on the ice.
As for Barrie, I wouldn’t mind him seeing take a few shifts with Dermott over the course of the next few games, just to see if they can be a good situational pairing when the Leafs need more offence.
4. We can stop saying that goaltending is the problem
Remember how Freddie Andersen is a good goaltender? Remember how he had a slow start? Well we can probably say that’s behind him.
Date | Opp | RESULT | GA | SV | SV% |
10/25/19 | SJS | W | 1 | 16 | 0.941 |
10/21/19 | CBJ | O | 4 | 34 | 0.895 |
10/19/19 | BOS | W | 3 | 43 | 0.935 |
10/15/19 | MIN | W | 2 | 27 | 0.931 |
10/12/19 | DET | W | 2 | 25 | 0.926 |
Your goaltender beefs reside solely on the shoulders of Michael Hutchinson and his appearance in the second half of back to backs. There is no question that Andersen didn’t have an ideal start, but it looks like we can start relying on him a bit more, although it would be nice to see if the Leafs can keep the shot totals down.
5. Getting over the Gauthier hype
Freddie Gauthier was a fun little story at the start of the season. He quickly picked up two goals, and largely due to the success of Dmytro Timashov, he started looking like he was in fact a solid 4th line center. Since that early fun we haven’t seen a lot from Gauthier, and bizarrely, he’s been given opportunities to play up in the lineup that again remind us how truly in over his head he is in this league.
With the return of Hyman looming, it appears that Gauthier will be safe from any consideration of demotion, although that doesn’t seem like it should be the case, but it will be interesting to see if Gauthier can settle back down into any kind of success. For now it seems like Mike Babcock has found his Luke Glendening.
Game starts at 7 PM ET and can be found on TSN 4 in Ontario.
Recent articles from Jon Steitzer