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Preview Game #34 Panthers @ Leafs – Memories of a Schenn giveaway
alt
Cam Charron
Mar 26, 2013, 17:18 EDT
I don’t know if there is an image that captures the Leafs struggles in the latter third of last season than this perfect exhibition of brilliance by Luke Schenn. At that time, the Leafs had already lost four straight games, three of them coming at home. They had won just one of their last nine games and had slipped to three points back of a playoff spot.
Toronto’s not there right now, but they’re teetering, having won just two out of nine. They are getting lucky in the sense that four of their seven losses have come in the shootout so they’re still picking up points during the slump, and while I hate the term “must-win”, the Leafs are in the midst of a rough patch of the schedule. The play Florida tonight, don’t have to beat them, but should beat the worst team in the NHL this season, a team with tonnes of injuries and goaltending issues.
Here’s the full play from the Leafs last home game against the Panthers:
It’s legendary, and no play sums up last season or Luke Schenn’s tenure in Toronto just so well. It’s the start of the game for a team lost in a slump, and before Sportsnet can even fill up their score bug with useless bits of information, Toronto is down 1-0.

Broadcast Info:

Puck Drop: 7 PM EDT
TV: Sportsnet Ontario

By the Numbers:

 FloridaToronto
Corsi Tied
50.8% (14th)
45.6% (25th)
5v5 GF/GA Ratio
0.63 (30th)
1.03 (16th)
Team Shot %
6.4%
10.5%
Team Save %
0.907
0.923
PDO
0.971
1.029

Special Teams:

 FloridaToronto
PP Success
18.1% (17th)
18.1% (18th)
5v4 GF/60
5.78 (17th)
6.00 (14th)
5v4 SF/60
48.1 (13th)
47.7 (16th)
PK Success
74.3% (30th)
85.4% (5th)
4v5 GF/60
8.08 (28th)
5.19 (6th)
4v5 SF/60
48.8 (19th)
40.8 (3rd)
Numbers from NHL.com and Hockey Analysis

Setup:



Player
 
 
 
01/23/13
broken wrist
is on injured reserve and is out indefinitely
03/26/13
flu-like symptoms
is questionable for Tuesday’s game against Toronto
03/17/13
lower body
is on injured reserve
03/17/13
upper body
is on injured reserve
03/26/13
concussion
is doubtful for Tuesday’s game against Toronto
03/26/13
upper body
is doubtful for Tuesday’s game against Toronto
03/03/13
torn right groin
is on injured reserve and is expected to miss 5-6 weeks
03/13/13
to undergo right knee surgery
is on injured reserve and will miss the remainder of the season
03/01/13
lower body
is on injured reserve and is expected to miss 4-5 weeks
03/04/13
to undergo wrist surgery
is on injured reserve and will miss the remainder of the season
As a result, here was their lineup last time out:
Tomas Fleischmann – Marcel Goc – Tomas Kopecky
Peter Mueller – Jonathan Huberdeau – Drew Shore
Scottie Upshall – Mike Santorelli – Shawn Matthias
Greg Rallo – Jerred Smithson – Quinton Howden
Dmitry Kulikov – Filip Kuba
Tyson Strachan – Brian Campbell
TJ Brennan – Colby Robak
Jakob Markstrom
Scott Clemmensen
If you check the usage chart, you’ll see that the only plus guys on the team are that second line of Mueller, Huberdeau and Shore. They’ll need to be shut down but beyond that, the Panthers have very little going for them so I’d expect Nazem Kadri to be run out against Marcel Goc and Tyler Bozak possibly against Mike Santorelli.
Carlyle may try something different, or try and get Kadri out against Huberdeau a bunch, but I think that the Leafs young star can thrash about any other line the Panthers send out, so it may be a better use or resources to do it that way. The first line and first defence pairings on the Leafs need to have better games.
Markstrom in net for the Panthers, while Paul Hendrick expects Ben Scrivens to get the nod for Toronto. Not sure about other lineup changes but I really hope that Colton Orr and Frazer McLaren don’t get in over Matt Frattin again.
Lines via Left Wing Lock
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