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The May Consolidated Draft Rankings show a lot of consistency at the top followed by wide open 2nd and 3rd Rounds
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Jon Steitzer
May 10, 2019, 12:52 EDT
A thing to do around this time of the year is to start looking at who are the top prospects heading into the NHL entry draft. This task is decidedly less fun when the team you follow isn’t picking until the 53rd overall pick over half way through the second round. The Kings, Ducks, Rangers, Hurricanes, Canadiens, and Senators are all currently scheduled to pick three times before the Leafs make their first selection.
The thing is, there’s not a lot of reason to believe the Leafs won’t be acquiring a draft pick or two. Maybe not in the first round, but it seems that with the need to shed salary and a lot of money being spent on the wing or about to be committed to the wing, the Leafs are going to deal some talent and talent tends to translate into first and second round picks.
We’ve got six more weeks to explore who is getting dealt and what they will bring in, so instead we’ll offer up the players that will motivate us to be supportive of the Leafs making trades for draft picks.
As I’ve done in the past, I’ve pulled together a number of draft rankings and gave the prospects a total score based on their ranking in those publications. This includes HockeyProspect.com, Future Considerations, ISS Hockey, The Hockey News, Dobber Prospects, McKeens, Sportsnet, and TSN’s rankings by both Craig Button and Bob McKenzie.
Rank
Player
POS
Height
League
GP
Pts
NHLe PPG
1
Jack Hughes
C
5.10
USHL
50
112
0.18
2
Kaapo Kakko
RW/C
6.01
LIIGA
45
38
0.40
3
Vasili Podkolzin
RW
6.01
MHL
12
8
0.11
4
Bowen Byram
D
6.01
WHL
67
71
0.16
5
Dylan Cozens
C/RW
6.03
WHL
68
84
0.19
6
Alex Turcotte
C
5.11
USHL
37
62
0.14
7
Kirby Dach
C
6.04
WHL
62
73
0.18
8
Trevor Zegras
C
6.00
USHL
60
87
0.12
9
Matthew Boldy
LW
6.02
USHL
64
81
0.10
10
Peyton Krebs
C/LW
5.11
WHL
64
68
0.16
11
Philip Broberg
D
6.03
ALLSVENSKAN
41
9
0.06
12
Cam York
D
5.11
USHL
63
65
0.08
13
Victor Soderstrom
D
5.11
SHL
44
7
0.10
14
Cole Caufield
C/RW
5.07
USHL
64
100
0.13
15
Alex Newhook
C
5.11
BCHL
53
102
0.13
16
Ryan Suzuki
C
6.00
OHL
65
75
0.18
17
Raphael Lavoie
C/RW
6.04
QMJHL
62
73
0.16
18
Arthur Kaliyev
LW
6.02
OHL
67
102
0.24
19
Thomas Harley
D
6.03
OHL
68
58
0.13
20
Moritz Seider
D
6.04
DEL
29
6
0.06
21
Spencer Knight
G
6.03
USHL
33
0.913
VOODOO
22
Matthew Robertson
D
6.04
WHL
56
33
0.09
23
Bobby Brink
RW
5.10
USHL
43
68
0.13
24
Ville Heinola
D
5.11
LIIGA
34
14
0.19
25
Jakob Pelletier
LW
5.09
QMJHL
65
89
0.18
26
Philip Tomasino
C
6.00
OHL
67
72
0.17
27
Connor McMichael
C
6.00
OHL
67
72
0.17
28
Ilya Nikolaev
C
6.00
MHL
41
25
0.10
29
Simon Holmstrom
RW
5.11
SUPERELIT
21
20
0.11
30
Brett Leason
C
6.05
WHL
55
89
0.25
31
Samuel Poulin
LW
6.01
QMJHL
67
76
0.15
31
Nils Hoglander
LW
5.09
SHL
50
14
0.18
A few things to note…
  1. NHLe is particularly cruel to the US National Team Development Program. I’m sure Jack Hughes, Alex Turcotte, Matthew Boldy, Trevor Zegras, Cole Caufield, and Cam York are all having their results understated a little. Of course it’s also an incredibly deep USNTDP team and it’s difficult to gauge who is benefiting from who without a deeper dive. For now we’ll assume Hughes really is that good.
  2. Of the 31 players above, 18 of them appeared on all of the rankings. The top 17 and Moritz Seider were on every list, and it should also be noted that some rankings purposely do not include goaltenders in their player rankings, so there is reason to believe that Spencer Knight’s appeal is being understated.
  3.  In total there were 49 players across these nine rankings that received consideration for the first round. I mention that largely because of the Leafs picking 53rd and it seems likely that at least one player considered a first rounder by someone will fall to them in the draft. Use that to enjoy your day. A couple of interesting names near the bottom of that list are Nolan Foote, Albin Grewe, and Mikko Kokkonen.
  4. Brett Leason is a 6’5 overager, and that’s why his NHLe is as high as it is and he’s still at the bottom of the first. That’s not to say that someone shouldn’t draft him or he’d be a bad pick, but it does qualify that there is some risk associated with him that isn’t done justice by the simple table above.

That doesn’t really help me too much with the Leafs picks

If that’s what you’re thinking I’ve got good news for you. I’ve got a second set of consolidated rankings geared at the first three rounds. Consider it the stripped down version of the rankings relying on sites with publicly available rankings beyond the top 31. For these rankings I’ve used Scouching.ca, TheDraftAnalyst.com, Canucks Army, Dobber Prospects, and Craig Button’s rankings. In a couple of these cases the rankings are a little older and represent the midterm rankings, but also I’d say in the case of Scouching, CA, and Dobber Prospects, three of the key people I’d most trust for solid draft rankings are reflected in this list.
Rank
Player
POS
League
1
Jack Hughes
C
NTDP
2
Kaapo Kakko
RW
SM-Liiga
3
Dylan Cozens
C/W
WHL
4
Bowen Byram
LHD
WHL
5
Vasili Podkolzin
RW
VHL
6
Matthew Boldy
LW
NTDP
7
Kirby Dach
C
WHL
8
Peyton Krebs
C
WHL
9
Alex Turcotte
C
NTDP
10
Trevor Zegras
C
NTDP
11
Arthur Kaliyev
LW
OHL
12
Cole Caufield
RW
NTDP
13
Jakob Pelletier
LW
QMJHL
14
Alex Newhook
C
BCHL
15
Cam York
LHD
NTDP
16
Raphael Lavoie
RW
QMJHL
17
Ryan Suzuki
C
OHL
18
Victor Soderstrom
RHD
SHL
19
Philip Broberg
LHD
Allsvenskan
20
Bobby Brink
RW
USHL
21
Nicholas Robertson
C/RW
OHL
22
Thomas Harley
LHD
OHL
23
Matthew Robertson
LHD
WHL
24
Moritz Seider
RHD
DEL
25
Nils Hoglander
RW
SHL
26
Samuel Poulin
LW
QMJHL
27
Albin Grewe
RW
Superelit
28
Lassi Thomson
RHD
WHL
29
Connor McMichael
C
OHL
30
Ville Heinola
LHD
SM-Liiga
31
Mikko Kokkonen
LHD
SM-Liiga
32
Spencer Knight
G
NTDP
33
Nolan Foote
LW
WHL
34
Pavel Dorofeyev
LW
MHL
35
Anttoni Honka
RHD
SM-Liiga
36
John Beecher
C
NTDP
37
Ryan Johnson
LHD
USHL
38
Nathan Legare
RW
QMJHL
39
Brett Leason
C
WH:
40
Simon Holmstrom
RW
Superelit
41
Phillip Tomasino
C
OHL
42
Alex Vlasic
LHD
NTDP
43
Kaedan Korczak
RHD
WHL
44
Tobias Bjornfot
LHD
Superelit
45
Robert Mastrosimone
LW
USHL
46
Ilya Nikolaev
C
MHL
47
Vladislav Kolyachonok
LHD
OHL
48
Billy Constantinou
RHD
OHL
49
Daniil Gutik
LW
MHL
50
Maxim Cajkovic
RW
QMJHL
51
Marcus Kallionkieli
LW
USHL
52
Marshall Warren
LHD
NTDP
53
Patrik Puistola
C/W
Mestis
54
Shane Pinto
C
USHL
55
Artemi Knyazev
LHD
QMJHL
56
Michal Teply
LW
Extraliga
57
Jamieson Rees
C
OHL
58
Valentin Nussbaumer
C
QMJHL
59
Alex Beaucage
RW
QMJHL
60
Jake Lee
D
WHL
61
Hunter Jones
G
OHL
62
Dmitri Sheshin
RW
MHL
63
Dillon Hamaliuk
LW
WHL
64
Egor Afanasyev
LW
USHL
65
Henry Thrun
D
NTDP
66
Ryder Donovan
C/RW
HS-MN
67
Samuel Fagemo
RW
SHL
68
Matvei Guskov
C/W
OHL
69
Leevi Aaltonen
RW
SM-Liiga
70
Matias Maccelli
LW
USHL
71
Sasha Mutala
RW
WHL
72
John Farinacci
C
HS-MA
73
Henri Nikkanen
C
SM-Liiga
74
Judd Caulfield
RW
NTDP
75
Yegor Spiridonov
C
MHL
76
Harrison Blaisdell
LW
BCHL
77
Vladislav Firstov
LW
USHL
78
Nikola Pasic
RW/C
Superelit
79
Brayden Tracey
LW
WHL
80
Albert Johansson
LHD
Superelit
81
Drew Helleson
RHD
NTDP
82
Adam Beckman
C
WHL
83
Blake Murray
C
OHL
84
Oleg Zaitsev
C
WHL
85
Semyon Chistyakov
LHD
MHL
86
Luke Toporowski
LW
WHL
87
Lucas Feuk
C/W
Superelit
88
Case McCarthy
RHD
NTDP
89
Cole Mackay
RW
OHL
90
Mikhail Abramov
C/W
QMJHL
91
Ben Brinkman
D
NCAA
92
Martin Hugo Has
RHD
Jr. A SM-Liiga
93
Nikita Alexandrov
C
QMJHL
I’ve bolded the rankings where the Leafs are scheduled to pick.
Things that are particularly noteworthy here…
  1. Oh look a Zaitsev! First, there’s no relation to Nikita. Second, he wouldn’t be a terrible pick, but I’d rather have either one of the two players right in front of him a whole lot more, especially Blake Murray.
  2. Cole Mackay is an interesting player of note at #89, since he’s a Soo Greyhound, and the Leafs have some pretty strong ties to that organization and he should be available when the Leafs pick in the third round. He scored very highly on the Canucks Army midterm rankings, but only appeared on the Canucks Army and Dobber Prospect lists.
  3. Using different lists than what was in the top listing means this is going to have some different results, and one of the encouraging different results is that Ilya Nikolaev looks more attainable to the Leafs at 46 on this list. It’s still a bit of a reach, but some optimism exists.
  4.  If you are a draft for positional need type of person, the four right handed defensemen ranked around the Leafs draft spots are Billy Constantinou, Drew Helleson, Martin Hugo Has and Case McCarthy.
After the draft combine is completed, and scouting services have the chance to complete their final rankings we should both of these lists take on their final form. Using the first list, you can probably be fairly certain that the top 20 will remain the top 20 with a couple of small movements, and maybe a couple of new names added to Top 31, but nothing too shocking.
As for the the secondary list, the top 93, well, we can assume that changes from the midterm, as well as the inclusion of other rankings may give us a much clearer picture of who will be available to the Leafs at 53 and 84. As for now, it looks like decent options should be available.