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How Bad Is The Bleeding?
alt
Jeff Veillette
Dec 11, 2013, 13:02 EST
 
Dion Phaneuf’s two game suspension has only added gasoline to a raging fire. That fire, of course, is the debate over just how bad the Leafs shot woes are. As we’ve all heard about a thousand times, Toronto is close to taking the fewest shots per game in the league, give up the most by a good chunk, and have one of the worst differentials in recorded NHL history. Some will yell "shot quality" and dismiss this as no big deal. Some will pull out a heap of advanced stastics and show that there is no good precedent for results like these. 
I’m going to keep this short and sweet, and we won’t get fancy with our stats. This is how bad the Leafs are at allowing shots.

Making History

These are the 19 teams that have given up the most shots in a season since 1987-88, the first year where logs became available for every game played in the NHL, with this year’s Leafs roster thrown in for fun.
RankTeamSeasonGPWLTOTLPTSGASA
??
Toronto
2013/14
31
16
12
0
3
35
82
1152
1
San Jose
1992/93
84
11
71
2
0
24
414
3080
2
Los Angeles
1993/94
84
27
45
12
0
66
322
3046
3
St. Louis
1993/94
84
40
33
11
0
91
283
2946
4
Buffalo
1995/96
82
33
42
7
0
73
262
2911
5
Atlanta
2001/02
82
19
47
11
5
54
288
2911
6
Los Angeles
1995/96
82
24
40
18
0
66
302
2905
7
San Jose
1991/92
80
17
58
5
0
39
359
2900
8
Edmonton
1993/94
84
25
45
14
0
64
305
2891
9
Los Angeles
1992/93
84
39
35
10
0
88
340
2888
10
Washington
2005/06
82
29
41
0
12
70
306
2880
11
Hartford
1992/93
84
26
52
6
0
58
369
2865
12
Quebec
1990/91
80
16
50
14
0
46
354
2863
13
Pittsburgh
1988/89
80
40
33
7
0
87
349
2856
14
Chicago
1987/88
80
30
41
9
0
69
328
2854
15
Florida
2005/06
82
37
34
0
11
85
257
2853
16
Florida
2008/09
82
41
30
0
11
93
231
2843
17
St. Louis
1992/93
84
37
36
11
0
85
278
2840
18
Pittsburgh
1995/96
82
49
29
4
0
102
284
2840
19
Edmonton
1992/93
84
26
50
8
0
60
337
2836
Lets make every team play 82 games, bringing up the 80’s, down the 84’s, and putting the Leafs on equal footing.
RankTeamSeasonGPWLTOTLPTSGASA
1
Toronto
2013/14
82
42
32
0
8
92
217
3047
2
San Jose
1992/93
82
11
69
2
0
24
404
3007
3
Los Angeles
1993/94
82
26
44
12
0
64
314
2973
4
Quebec
1990/91
82
16
52
14
0
46
363
2935
5
Pittsburgh
1988/89
82
41
34
7
0
89
358
2927
6
Chicago
1987/88
82
31
42
9
0
71
336
2925
7
Buffalo
1995/96
82
33
42
7
0
73
262
2911
8
Atlanta
2001/02
82
19
47
11
5
54
288
2911
9
Los Angeles
1995/96
82
24
40
18
0
66
302
2905
10
San Jose
1991/92
82
17
60
5
0
39
368
2973
11
Washington
2005/06
82
29
41
0
12
70
306
2880
12
St. Louis
1993/94
82
39
32
11
0
89
276
2876
13
Florida
2005/06
82
37
34
0
11
85
257
2853
14
Florida
2008/09
82
41
30
0
11
93
231
2843
15
Pittsburgh
1995/96
82
49
29
4
0
102
284
2840
16
Edmonton
1993/94
82
24
44
14
0
62
298
2822
17
Los Angeles
1992/93
82
38
34
10
0
86
332
2819
18
Hartford
1992/93
82
25
51
6
0
56
360
2797
19
St. Louis
1992/93
82
36
35
11
0
83
271
2772
20
Edmonton
1992/93
82
25
49
8
0
58
329
2768
Yes, the Toronto Maple Leafs are on pace to give up more shots in 82 games than any team in recorded NHL history. The situation isn’t just "worrisome", it’s "catastrophically bad". When you consider that they’re also on pace to take 855 fewer shots than they allow (2192), it gets impressively absurd.
Whether or not you believe the Leafs don’t have to consistently outshoot teams if they focus on quality, this is too much of a disparity to make any sense. Yet, despite recent struggles, it’s still kind of working.

But How?

Looking at the other adjusted stats, this year’s Leafs are on pace for the second best regular season results out of any team on this list, one of three to cross over the 90 point mark. Sure, they aren’t the 1995/96 Pittsburgh Penguins, but that team included Mario Lemieux scoring 60 goals in 69 games, and Jaromir Jagr notching a career high 149 points. What is making this survivable?
Pretty simply, it’s the goaltending.
TeamSeasonStarterGPSV%BackupGPSV%LAVTAVGAP
Toronto
2013/14
Jonathan Bernier
19
0.929
James Reimer
14
0.932
0.915
0.931
0.016
San Jose
1992/93
Arturs Irbe
36
0.886
Jeff Hackett
36
0.856
0.885
0.867
-0.018
Los Angeles
1993/94
Kelly Hrudey
64
0.897
Robb Stauber
22
0.908
0.895
0.898
0.003
St. Louis
1993/94
Curtis Joseph
71
0.911
Jim Hrivnak
23
0.877
0.895
0.904
0.009
Buffalo
1995/96
Dominik Hasek
59
0.92
Andrei Trefilov
22
0.903
0.898
0.913
0.015
Atlanta
2001/02
Milan Hnilicka
60
0.908
Damian Rhodes
15
0.893
0.908
0.905
-0.003
Los Angeles
1995/96
Byron Dafoe
47
0.888
Kelly Hrudey
36
0.907
0.898
0.898
0
San Jose
1991/92
Jeff Hackett
42
0.892
Jarmo Myllys
27
0.867
0.888
0.879
-0.009
Edmonton
1993/94
Bill Ranford
71
0.898
Fred Brathwaite
19
0.889
0.895
0.897
0.002
Los Angeles
1992/93
Kelly Hrudey
50
0.887
Robb Stauber
31
0.888
0.885
0.884
-0.001
Washington
2005/06
Olaf Kolzig
59
0.896
Brent Johnson
28
0.905
0.901
0.899
-0.002
Hartford
1992/93
Sean Burke
50
0.876
Frank Pietrangelo
30
0.858
0.885
0.874
-0.011
Quebec
1990/91
Ron Tugnutt
56
0.885
Jacques Cloutier
15
0.884
0.886
0.878
-0.008
Pittsburgh
1988/89
Tom Barrasso
44
0.888
Wendell Young
22
0.863
0.879
0.88
0.001
Chicago
1987/88
Darren Pang
45
0.891
Bob Mason
41
0.882
0.88
0.887
0.007
Florida
2005/06
Roberto Luongo
75
0.914
Jamie McLennan
17
0.906
0.901
0.913
0.012
Florida
2008/09
Tomas Vokoun
59
0.926
Craig Anderson
31
0.924
0.908
0.925
0.017
St. Louis
1992/93
Curtis Joseph
68
0.911
Guy Hebert
24
0.883
0.885
0.905
0.020
Pittsburgh
1995/96
Tom Barasso
49
0.902
Ken Wregget
37
0.905
0.898
0.903
0.005
Edmonton
1992/93
Bill Ranford
67
0.884
Ron Tugnutt
26
0.879
0.885
0.882
-0.003
LAV = League Average SV% / TAV = Team Average SV% / GAP = TAV-LAV
Out of any starting or backup goaltender on this list, James Reimer and Jonathan Bernier have the best and second best save percentages. Many come from different eras, but even with that considered, Toronto’s team average compared to the league average is still the third best disparity of the bunch.
Topping the list are the 1992/93 St. Louis Blues, who had Curtis Joseph in net for 68 games. For those old enough to remember, this was the year he had a 61 save performance in a 2-1 playoff double overtime loss to the Leafs (featuring a certain goal). His following year was equally impressive, only bogged down by backup Jim Hrivnak’s horrendous 4-10-0 record and 0.877 save percentage. 
Also ahead are a prime Tomas Vokoun and a "coming out party" Craig Anderson on the 2008/09 Panthers. amazingly, that team barely missed the playoffs, losing the 8th spot to Montreal on a tiebreaker.
The general rule you see in this list? Good goaltending was what kept these bad defensive teams alive. Of all the teams that managed even a 75 point pace, only one had a below-average save percentage (the 92/93 Kings, who went to the Stanley Cup Finals on Wayne Gretzky’s stick and back). 

Conclusion

I’m not offering you a solution to the Leafs’ problems here. That will be something for another article. However, the Leafs’ shots-against woes are beyond bad and into historically embarrassing.  it may be time to petition for a goaltending duo to share a Hart Trophy.