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How Can The Leafs Win the Presidents Trophy (Or, How Much Will They Win It By)?

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Photo credit:Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports
Will McMillan
6 years ago
Let’s take this lull in the Leafs’ schedule to do some fully accurate prognosticating of the rest of the season. Despite a bit of a dud on their recent four-game road trip, one that saw them go 0-2-2, the Blue and White are fully secure in their quest for the playoffs and can spend their last 14 games tinkering and getting set for either Tampa or Boston – end of story, end of article, no angst required whatsoever (but let’s check back if the next few games don’t go well either). But what is left for the fans that dare to dream, those insatiable scoreboard-watchers who have watched every recent Golden Knights and Predators game and cursed every loser point across the league from November onwards? What about those who want the team to aim just a little bit higher heading into the postseason?
This is but one example of how the Leafs can still win the 2017-18 Presidents Trophy (which would be their first in 55 years).
As of Wednesday morning, the invaluable sportsclubstats.com still gives the Leafs a 1.1% chance of having the best record in the NHL if they finish the season on a 14-game winning streak and accumulate 113 points (which would break their franchise record of 103). This is far from a complete list of the possibilities, as there are really tons (tons!) of foreseeable ways for the Leafs to accomplish this – the example below is in fact the “scorched earth” set of results, whereby every true Stanley Cup contender except for Toronto suffers a cataclysmic breakdown at season’s end. But the Leafs could still pull it off in many other ways even without a totally unblemished record, even though that might be considering backing into the playoffs. So, here is one rooting guide for Leafs fans to hang in their offices and dorm rooms, and eventually get nicely framed after the regular season ends on April 7th.
Because we’re dealing with the happiest timeline, which is one in which the NHL never enacted its most flawed rule, we’re going to mistakenly assume no overtime or shootout loss points in any of the games in the table below. Also, only games featuring exactly one team that could tie or beat 113 points are included. For the rest, just do what feels right (which when Ottawa plays Buffalo on Thursday night, for example, is to just sit back and smile).
DateWinner Loser
March 8PhiladelphiaBoston
New JerseyWinnipeg
DetroitVegas
N.Y. RangersTampa Bay
AnaheimNashville
Los AngelesWashington
March 9VancouverMinnesota
March 10ChicagoBoston
BuffaloVegas
MontrealTampa Bay
PhiladelphiaWinnipeg
San JoseWashington
TorontoPittsburgh
New JerseyNashville
EdmontonMinnesota
March 11ChicagoBoston
March 12PhiladelphiaVegas
March 13CarolinaBoston
OttawaTampa Bay
ColoradoMinnesota
March 14TorontoDallas
New JerseyVegas
March 15TorontoBuffalo
N.Y. IslandersWashington
FloridaBoston
ChicagoWinnipeg
ArizonaNashville
March 16N.Y. IslandersWashington
ColoradoNashville
March 17TorontoMontreal
ArizonaMinnesota
March 18CalgaryVegas
EdmontonTampa Bay
PhiladelphiaWashington
DallasWinnipeg
March 19ColumbusBoston
BuffaloNashville
Los AngelesMinnesota
March 20DallasWashington
TorontoTampa Bay
Los AngelesWinnipeg
VancouverVegas
March 21St. LouisBoston
March 22N.Y. IslandersTampa Bay
DetroitWashington
TorontoNashville
San JoseVegas
March 23AnaheimWinnipeg
DallasBoston
March 24ColoradoVegas
TorontoDetroit
MontrealWashington
New JerseyTampa Bay
March 26TorontoBuffalo
N.Y. RangersWashington
ArizonaTampa Bay
ColoradoVegas
March 28TorontoFlorida
N.Y. RangersWashington
ArizonaVegas
March 29San JoseNashville
DallasMinnesota
ChicagoWinnipeg
March 30TorontoN.Y. Islanders
N.Y. RangersTampa Bay
CarolinaWashington
St. LouisVegas
March 31FloridaBoston
TorontoWinnipeg
BuffaloNashville
DallasMinnesota
San JoseVegas
April 1PhiladelphiaBoston
PittsburghWashington
April 2TorontoBuffalo
OttawaWinnipeg
St. LouisWashington
EdmontonMinnesota
April 3MontrealWinnipeg
FloridaNashville
VancouverVegas
April 4AnaheimMinnesota
April 5TorontoNew Jersey
FloridaBoston
CalgaryWinnipeg
EdmontonVegas
Los AngelesMinnesota
April 6BuffaloTampa Bay
April 7ChicagoWinnipeg
OttawaBoston
TorontoMontreal
New JerseyWashington
CarolinaTampa Bay
ColumbusNashville
CalgaryVegas
San JoseMinnesota
April 8FloridaBoston
 
Easy. With these results, the Leafs would very comfortably win the Presidents Trophy. Congratulations to the Flyers, Blackhawks, and Sharks for their impressive 5-0 records in the above meaningful games during this stretch. And hey, while this article was being meticulously researched and written, the Blue Jackets beat the Golden Knights handily and – oh. Tampa and Boston both got pushed to overtime but won. Well, that’s going to have to stop. Any time now, please.

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