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LGD: Quality of Competition

Ryan Fancey
7 years ago
Morgan Rielly, when asked if he talks about the playoffs given where the Leafs are right now (via NHL.com):
In meetings, no. Amongst each other at dinner, absolutely. I think if you don’t come to the rink with the attitude that you’re going to be playing in the playoffs, you’re already behind. When we go for dinner, we definitely talk about it. I check the standings every day. We definitely talk about it. I certainly do.
I also like to check the standings every once in a while, and this morning they’re telling me that, on the heels of another Bruins loss, the Leafs now sit three points back of third in the Atlantic with four games in hand (though it’s really Ottawa that’s more likely the sitting duck). They head into Washington tonight to go up against one of the best, and stingiest teams in the league. 
The Caps have given up the fewest goals against in the conference, and rank fourth overall in Corsi Against per 60 minutes. To go on the road and get these two points is going to be difficult, but it’s a good measuring stick for this Leafs team that has recently been doing a nice job of taking care of teams they should beat. Now they need to get another win against a team they shouldn’t.

THE LEAFS

LWCRW
 
Leo Komarov
 
Nazem Kadri
 
William Nylander
 
Zach Hyman
 
Auston Matthews
 
Connor Brown
 
James van Riemsdyk
 
Tyler Bozak
 
Mitchell Marner
 
Matt Martin
 
Frederik Gauthier
 
Nikita Soshnikov
Defensive Pairings
 
Morgan Rielly
 
Nikita Zaitsev
 
Jake Gardiner
 
Connor Carrick
 
Matt Hunwick
 
Roman Polak
Nothing new here, Babcock is just going with what’s been working. Something to note, aside from Matthews’ dominance, is Connor Brown’s seven points over this five game winning streak. It’ll be interesting to see how long he sticks on that line. Obviously nothing but good things so far.

THE CAPS

LWCRW
 
Alex Ovechkin
 
Nicklas Backstrom
 
T.J. Oshie
 
Marcus Johansson
 
Evgeny Kuznetsov
 
Justin Williams
 
Brett Connolly
 
Lars Eller
 
Andre Burakovsky
 
Daniel Winnik
 
Jay Beagle
 
Tom Wilson
Defensive Pairings
 
Karl Alzner
 
John Carlson
 
Dmitri Orlov
 
Matt Niskanen
 
Brooks Orpik
 
Taylor Chorney
Like I mentioned at the top, the Caps are sound defensively and are among the best teams in the league, even if they’re not quite there in the standings yet with the leaders of their division. They’ve only given up 78 goals-against so far this season, with just the Dubnyk-led Wild surrendering fewer (76). The high-scoring Leafs did put up four on them the last time these two teams played, but it was against a tired Caps team visiting Toronto. We should expect things to be tighter this go round.

STARTING GOALTENDERS

Holtby (0.929 save-percentage) has been confirmed to go for the Caps by our friends at Daily Faceoff. Toronto hasn’t confirmed their starter yet, but it’s reasonable to assume Andersen (0.924) gets the net.

NUMBERS

TORWSH
Wins1722
Points Per Game1.141.36
Power Play19.6% (12th)  16.7% (18th) 
Penalty Kill85.2% (6th)87.3% (3rd)
Score-Adjusted Corsi    51.9% (11th)53.4% (4th)

WHAT TO LOOK OUT FOR

Game goes 7:00pm EST, Leafs regional coverage on TSN4. 

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