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Leafs at The Draft: Player Size
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Ryan Fancey
Jun 23, 2015, 14:50 EDTUpdated:
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Photo Credit: John E. Sokolowski/USA TODAY Sports
There’s been a fair amount of debate over how good the Leafs have performed at the draft under Dave Morrison, who’s held a position in the scouting department since the 2004 lockout, obviously most recently as the director of amateur scouting. Yesterday we took a look at some of his favourite fishing holes, and today we’ll see how the team has picked since then in regards to player size. 
Using the always-convenient Draft Tool compiled by TLN’s own Justin Fisher, we can easily dig in and see what trends, if any, exist when it comes to the Leafs’ draft record and the value they place on stature.
For the purpose of this piece we’re only going to take a look at the Leafs’ draft record since the 2004 lockout. So, 2005 up to and including 2014. That also more or less falls in line with the entirety of Morrison’s tenure with the team. It should be noted he moved into his more prominent role starting with the 2006 draft, however.

The Giants

Since the 2004 lockout, the Leafs have used a total of 67 draft picks, which of course is some sort of sick joke. But anyway, out of those 67, they’ve gone with what I would consider giant players ten times. I decided my definition of “giant” would be any prospect who was 6’4″ or above when drafted. If there’s such thing as undersized prospects, these guys would almost be oversized, if you will.
Here’s the list:
Year
Round    
Overall    
Name
Height    
Weight   
Amateur League   
2014     
7
188
Pierre Engvall
6′ 4″
191
Sweden Jr.
2013
1
21
Frederik Gauthier    
6′ 4″
214
QMJHL
2009
3
68
Jamie Devane
6′ 5″
217
OHL
2009
5
128
Eric Knodel
6′ 6″
216
USMAAA
2009
7
188
Barron Smith
6′ 4″
191
OHL
2008
2
60
Jimmy Hayes
6′ 5″
210
USHL
2008
5
129
Joel Champagne
6′ 4″
210
QMJHL
2008
6
158
Grant Rollheiser
6′ 4″
195
BCHL
2007
5
134
Juraj Mikus
6′ 4″
185
Slovakia
2005
3
82
Phil Oreskovic
6′ 4″
217
OHL
Definitely not much to write home about here. Jimmy Hayes is an NHL regular but no one else has turned out, or at least not yet in the case of more recent selections. Most of these picks occurred in the later rounds, with Gauthier being the exception as a first rounder in 2013. 
At a glance, it really doesn’t appear the Leafs are size-crazy or anything, and especially not with their early selections. 
If we look a little deeper, the Leafs have used 15% of their picks on players 6’4″ or taller, but how does that stack up with other teams? Well, for comparison’s sake, I took a quick look at the last five franchises to win the Stanley Cup to see how they drafted in that same size range.
Total Picks       
6’4″ +      
%    
TOR      
67
10
15
BOS
62
6
10
LAK
80
7
9
CHI
89
10
11
PIT
62
6
10
DET
71
8
11
As you can see, the Leafs have drafted a slightly higher-percentage of vertically-advanced prospects than the other teams on this list, but I’m not sure if it’s enough be considered notable.

The Big Fellas

Next we’re looking at the 6’2″ to 6’3″ guys, players whose size is often considered a plus, but they’re not mammoths like the ones we’ve already mentioned. They certainly have tallness in their favour, but it isn’t their main attribute.
Again, from 2005 up to and including the 2014 draft.
Year       
Round    
Overall   
Name
Height      
Weight    
Amateur League    
2013
5
142
Fabrice Herzog
6′ 2″
176
Switzerland Jr.
2013
6
172
Antoine Bibeau
6′ 2″
207
QMJHL
2011
1
22
Tyler Biggs
6′ 2″
205
USHL
2011
6
152
David Broll
6′ 2″
216
OHL
2011
7
190
Garret Sparks
6′ 2″
200
OHL
2010
3
79
Sondre Olden
6′ 3″
172
Sweden Jr.
2010
4
116
Petter Granberg
6′ 3″
200
Sweden Jr.
2010
7
182
Josh Nicholls
6′ 2″
174
WHL
2008
1
5
Luke Schenn
6′ 2″
229
WHL
2008
4
98
Mikhail Stefanovich     
6′ 2″
202
QMJHL
2008
5
128
Greg Pateryn
6′ 2″
212
USHL
2008
5
130
Jerome Flaake
6′ 2″
187
Germany
2008
7
188
Andrew MacWilliam
6′ 2″
214
AJHL
2007
7
194
Carl Gunnarsson
6′ 2″
196
Sweden
2006
4
99
James Reimer
6′ 2″
208
WHL
2006
4
111
Korbinian Holzer
6′ 3″
205
Germany
2006
6
161
Viktor Stalberg
6′ 3″
210
Sweden
2005
1
21
Tuukka Rask
6′ 3″
169
Finland Jr.
2005
5
153
Alex Berry
6′ 2″
218
EJHL
2005
6
173
Johan Dahlberg
6′ 2″
194
Sweden Jr.
In this category, where does this leave Toronto among the teams we mentioned earlier?
Total Picks   
6’2 to 6’3   
%    
TOR     
67
20
30
BOS
62
17
27
LAK
80
22
28
CHI
89
30
34
PIT
62
20
32
DET
71
24
34
Based on the overall picture, it looks like the Leafs fall right in line with the Cup winners in this regard. Again, nothing really to suggest they lean heavily one way or the other.

Regular Joes

This group makes up the biggest chunk of the draft, for the Leafs and league-wide.
Year     
Round    
Overall     
Name
Height     
Weight     
Amateur League
2014
1
8
William Nylander
5′ 11″
169
Sweden
2014
3
68
Rinat Valiev
6′ 1″
205
WHL
2014
4
103
John Piccinich
5′ 11″
190
USHL
2014
5
128
Dakota Joshua
6′ 1″
182
USHL
2014
6
158
Nolan Vesey
5′ 11″
198
USPHL PRE.
2013
3
82
Carter Verhaeghe
6′ 1″
181
OHL
2012
1
5
Morgan Rielly
6′ 0″
200
WHL
2012
2
35
Matthew Finn
6′ 0″
199
OHL
2012
5
126
Dominic Toninato
6′ 0″
165
Minnesota
2012
7
209
Viktor Loov
6′ 1″
187
Sweden D2
2011
1
25
Stuart Percy
6′ 1″
187
OHL
2011
3
86
Josh Leivo
6′ 1″
173
OHL
2011
4
100
Tom Nilsson
6′ 0″
176
Sweden Jr.
2011
6
173
Dennis Robertson
6′ 0″
195
ECAC
2011
7
203
Max Everson
6′ 1″
184
Minnesota
2010
2
43
Brad Ross
6′ 0″
175
WHL
2010
3
62
Greg McKegg
6′ 0″
191
OHL
2010
5
144
Sam Carrick
6′ 0″
188
OHL
2010
5
146
Daniel Brodin
6′ 1″
172
Sweden
2009
1
7
Nazem Kadri
6′ 0″
188
OHL
2009
2
50
Kenny Ryan
6′ 0″
204
USDP
2009
2
58
Jesse Blacker
6′ 1″
190
OHL
2009
6
158
Jerry D’Amigo
5′ 11″
208
USDP
2007
4
99
Matt Frattin
5′ 11″
187
AJHL
2007
4
104
Ben Winnett
6′ 0″
173
BCHL
2007
6
164
Christopher
DiDomenico
5′ 11″
165
QMJHL
2006
1
13
Jiri Tlusty
6′ 0″
209
Czech Republic
2006
2
44
Nikolai Kulemin
6′ 1″
225
Russia
2006
6
166
Tyler Ruegsegger
5′ 11″
170
USHSW
2005
7
216
Anton Stralman
5′ 11″
193
Sweden D2
2005
7
228
Chad Rau
5′ 11″
175
USHL
This is the most common size category from where the Leafs make their picks, and obviously they’re not the only ones.
Total Picks    
5’11” to 6’1″      
%
TOR    
67
31
46    
BOS
62
29
47
LAK
80
42
53
CHI
89
38
43
PIT
62
34
55
DET
71
35
49
At 46% the Leafs are the second-lowest on this list but it doesn’t appear to be anything to draw conclusions from. 

“Undersized”

Here’s where you find the Marchands or Gallaghers or, dare I say, Connor Browns of the draft. I considered anyone listed 5’10” or below at draft time to fit this category.
Year     
Round   
Overall     
Name
Height   
Weight   
Amateur League  
2013
7
202
Andreas Johnson
5′ 10″
183
Sweden Jr.
2012
6
156
Connor Brown
5′ 10″
160
OHL
2012
6
157
Ryan Rupert
5′ 8″
186
OHL
2011
5
130
Tony Cameranesi     
5′ 9″
162
Minnesota
2007
3
74
Dale Mitchell
5′ 9″
200
OHL
2006
6
180
Leo Komarov
5′ 10″
187
Finland
Much like the giants on the other end of the spectrum, the Leafs were limited in their selections here (and mainly pushed them to the later rounds), which seems typical. Let’s see how the other teams selected in this category.
Total Picks       
5’10 or below      
%
TOR      
67
6
9
BOS
62
10
16    
LAK
80
9
11
CHI
89
11
12
PIT
62
2
3
DET
71
4
6
Of course the sample isn’t huge, but among these teams the Leafs are about middle of the pack. 
It’s funny to note though, the Bruins – a team with a reputation for wanting to be tough and big and scary – drafted the highest percentage of undersized kids in this group. Detroit, on the other hand – perhaps known best for their ability to churn out skill regardless of size – have only taken four of these smaller prospects in the last decade.

Conclusions

Looking through these lists, there doesn’t seem to be any evidence the Leafs put too much of a premium on size, at least compared to some of their peers (most notably the winning ones). They haven’t had a Gallagher or Tyler Johnson come all the way through their system in the past decade, so it’s probably easy to assume they stay away from undersized prospects, but that doesn’t appear to be the case based on the numbers above. 
We can – and likely will – dive into this further over the summer to see how the Leafs picked based on size, round-by-round, in comparison to the entire league, but that’ll be a bigger project and much longer post. For the purposes of the draft this Friday though, I think it’s fair to say, given the Leafs’ recent history, there shouldn’t be any worries about them shying away from a player deemed a little undersized if they feel the upside is there.

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