Going into tonight’s game, the Toronto Maple Leafs have an eight point lead over the Montreal Canadiens for the division title, but the Habs have three games in hand. This game could be the difference between having a 0 point lead if the Habs win their games in hand or having a four point lead if they do, and any chance to help cement your chance as the division winner should hopefully be capitalized on.
The Leafs head into tonight’s game after a three game series against the Ottawa Senators, where they took five of a possible six points, and did it in the most frustrating way possible, blowing a 5-1 lead on Monday night, barely squeaking by on Wednesday night, only to finally blow them out on Thursday night. They’re currently on a two game win streak as a result, and have managed to only lose in regulation once in their last 13 games, going 10-1-2 in the process.
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The Habs have had the week off after last Saturday’s game against the Leafs, which saw them get the tying and go ahead goals in the third period on route to a 2-1 win. That ended a slump that saw them lose three of their last four, including a regulation loss to the Ottawa Senators and getting shutout by Mike Smith.
The Leafs have usually found themselves on the wrong side of the possession metrics in this series up to this point, and while they are 2-1 in the series, it’d be nice to see them improve in that regard against the Habs, and not rely on Carey Price playing bad against them.

Projected Lineups

Toronto Maple Leafs
LWCRWForwards
Joe Thornton
JOE THORNTON
Rating: 72.3#74 LW
Auston Matthews
AUSTON MATTHEWS
Rating: 82.3#6 C
Mitch Marner
MITCH MARNER
Rating: 76.6#18 RW
FL1 Rating
Rating: 77.06#9 FL1
Zach Hyman
ZACH HYMAN
Rating: 74.6#33 LW
John Tavares
JOHN TAVARES
Rating: 77.6#15 C
William Nylander
WILLIAM NYLANDER
Rating: 76.1#23 RW
FL2 Rating
Rating: 76.08#6 FL2
Ilya Mikheyev
ILYA MIKHEYEV
Rating: 74.0#42 LW
Alexander Kerfoot
ALEXANDER KERFOOT
Rating: 70.8#113 C
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Pierre Engvall
PIERRE ENGVALL
Rating: 71.0#98 RW
FL3 Rating
Rating: 71.95#18 FL3
Jimmy Vesey
JIMMY VESEY
Rating: 70.6#107 LW
Travis Boyd
TRAVIS BOYD
Rating: 70.4#124 C
Jason Spezza
JASON SPEZZA
Rating: 69.4#126 RW
FL4 Rating
Rating: 70.15#20 FL4
DEFENSIVE PAIRINGSDefense
Morgan Rielly
MORGAN RIELLY
Rating: 75.3#14 LD
T.J. Brodie
T.J. BRODIE
Rating: 74.2#27 RD
DL1 Rating
Rating: 74.76#16 DL1
Jake Muzzin
JAKE MUZZIN
Rating: 75.1#17 LD
Justin Holl
JUSTIN HOLL
Rating: 72.0#61 RD
DL2 Rating
Rating: 73.56#13 DL2
Travis Dermott
TRAVIS DERMOTT
Rating: 71.7#83 LD
Zach Bogosian
ZACH BOGOSIAN
Rating: 71.4#76 RD
DL3 Rating
Rating: 71.56#22 DL3
Zach Hyman and Zach Bogosian will be back in the lineup tonight, with Nic Petan and Mikko Lehtonen coming out. Hyman missed the last game after blocking a shot on Wednesday against the Sens, but looks to be in much better condition tonight. Bogosian found himself out of the lineup mostly to give the veteran some rest on a back to back after playing the first 17 games of the season.
Montreal Canadiens
LWCRWForwards
Tyler Toffoli
TYLER TOFFOLI
Rating: 75.9#25 LW
Phillip Danault
PHILLIP DANAULT
Rating: 75.5#29 C
Brendan Gallagher
BRENDAN GALLAGHER
Rating: 78.3#7 RW
FL1 Rating
Rating: 76.60#10 FL1
Jonathan Drouin
JONATHAN DROUIN
Rating: 73.0#48 LW
Josh Anderson
JOSH ANDERSON
Rating: 73.4#42 RW
FL2 Rating
Rating: 73.16#19 FL2
Tomas Tatar
TOMAS TATAR
Rating: 77.7#10 LW
Joel Armia
JOEL ARMIA
Rating: 73.1#54 RW
FL3 Rating
Rating: 73.79#2 FL3
Artturi Lehkonen
ARTTURI LEHKONEN
Rating: 71.7#81 LW
Paul Byron
PAUL BYRON
Rating: 71.8#78 RW
FL4 Rating
Rating: 71.77#3 FL4
DEFENSIVE PAIRINGSDefense
Ben Chiarot
BEN CHIAROT
Rating: 73.8#38 LD
Shea Weber
SHEA WEBER
Rating: 76.5#15 RD
DL1 Rating
Rating: 75.15#11 DL1
Joel Edmundson
JOEL EDMUNDSON
Rating: 73.8#39 LD
Jeff Petry
JEFF PETRY
Rating: 76.7#13 RD
DL2 Rating
Rating: 75.23#3 DL2
Victor Mete
VICTOR METE
Rating: 72.2#70 LD
DL3 Rating
Rating: 72.20#11 DL3
Tomas Tatar returns to the lineup after being scratched last Saturday, but otherwise there are no significant changes for the Habs.
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Who to watch for the Leafs: Jimmy Vesey

Vesey seems to be on his last limbs in Keefe’s good books with some mediocre play recently, and with the Alex Galchenyuk trade, he’s no longer looking at a guaranteed spot in the lineup. In what’s likely one of his last games to really prove himself, Vesey will probably want to have a strong night to stick around in the lineup.

Who to watch for the Habs: Tomas Tatar

As I mentioned before, Tatar will be drawing into the lineup after being a healthy scratch in last Saturday’s game. This came after scoring in the previous game against Toronto, although he had a much weaker performance the next night against Edmonton. He’ll be looking to have a strong game after the scratch, and with 4 goals and 8 points in 14 games this season, there’s no saying he won’t.
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Leafs Starting Goalie: Frederik Andersen

Andersen will likely get the start tonight against Montreal after getting some much needed rest on Thursday. He’s on a bit of a hot streak with a .927 save percentage in his last six starts, and a lot of that weighed down by the 6-5 loss to Ottawa. He’s 2-1 this season against Montreal with a .913 save percentage.

Habs Starting Goalie: Carey Price

The Canadiens turn to their usual starter against Toronto, as Carey Price gets the crease tonight. He hasn’t been the best with a .901 save percentage this season, but he had a strong start last game against the Leafs, stopping 21 of 22 for the win. He’s 1-1-1 this season against the Leafs, with an .886 save percentage.
Puck drop is set for 7pm tonight, and can be found on CBC, City TV, and Sportsnet.
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